Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31122926›Full record

Observational studyBMJ (Clinical research ed.)2019

Understanding the consequences of education inequality on cardiovascular disease: mendelian randomisation study.

Alice R Carter, Dipender Gill, Neil M Davies, Amy E Taylor, Taavi Tillmann, Julien Vaucher, Robyn E Wootton, Marcus R Munafò, Gibran Hemani, Rainer Malik and 8 more

Open access · hybridAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in BMJ (Clinical research ed.), 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 181 papers, 10 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
181citing papers in PubMed, 10 pooled it
23.6field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

181 citing papers in PubMed, 10 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 333 citations in OpenAlex.

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  2. A systematic review of causal pathways of socioeconomic inequalities in stroke.International journal of stroke : official journal of the International Stroke Society · 2026
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121 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors at 11 institutions in 5 countries.

Alice R CarterMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK alice.carter@bristol.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0003-2817-4195
Dipender GillDepartment of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Neil M DaviesMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Amy E TaylorPopulation Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Oakfield House, Oakfield Grove, Bristol, BS8 2BN, UK.
Taavi TillmannInstitute for Global Health, University College London, London, UK.
Julien VaucherLausanne University Hospital, Lausanne, Switzerland.
Robyn E WoottonMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Marcus R MunafòMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Gibran HemaniMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Rainer MalikInstitute for Stroke and Dementia Research, University Hospital of Ludwig-Maximilians University, Munich, Germany.
Sudha SeshadriGlenn Biggs Institute for Alzheimer's & Neurodegenerative Diseases, University of Texas Health Sciences Centre, San Antonio, TX, USA.
Daniel WooDepartment of Neurology and Rehabilitation Medicine, University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, Cincinnati, OH, USA.
Stephen BurgessMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
George Davey SmithMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Michael V HolmesMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Ioanna TzoulakiDepartment of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Laura D HoweMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Abbas DehghanDepartment of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.
University Hospitals Bristol NHS Foundation Trust · GBUniversity of Bristol · GBImperial College London · GBLudwig-Maximilians-Universität München · DENational Institute for Health Research · GBThe University of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio · USUniversity College London · GBUniversity of Cambridge · GBUniversity of Cincinnati Medical Center · USUniversity of Ioannina · GRUniversity of Lausanne · CH

Funding

UC Davis Alzheimer's Disease Core CenterP30AG010129 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA DAVIS · PI DECARLI, CHARLES · 1991 to 2020
$28.3M
STROKE INCIDENCE AND OUTCOME AMONG BLACKS AND WHITESR01NS030678 · NINDS · UNIVERSITY OF CINCINNATI · PI KISSELA, BRETT M, KLEINDORFER, DAWN O · 1993 to 2024
$26.7M
South Texas Alzheimer's Disease Research CenterP30AG066546 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS HLTH SCIENCE CENTER · PI Sudha Seshadri · 2021 to 2026
$24.0M
PRECURSORS OF STROKE INCIDENCE AND PROGNOSISR01NS017950 · NINDS · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS HLTH SCIENCE CENTER · PI Hugo Javier Aparicio, Jose Rafael Romero · 1985 to 2026
$22.9M
Genetic&Environment Risk Factors for Hemorrhagic StrokeR01NS036695 · NINDS · UNIVERSITY OF CINCINNATI · PI WOO, DANIEL · 1997 to 2012
$14.1M
Temporal Trends, Novel Imaging and Molecular Characterization of Preclinical and Clinical Alzheimer's Disease in the Framingham CohortsR01AG054076 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS HLTH SCIENCE CENTER · PI DECARLI, CHARLES, SESHADRI, SUDHA · 2016 to 2020
$12.3M
MRI, Cognitive, Genetic & Biomarker Precursors of AD & Dementia in Young AdultsR01AG033040 · NIA · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI AU, RHODA, SESHADRI, SUDHA · 2009 to 2019
$11.2M
Therapeutic target discovery in ADSP data via comprehensive whole-genome analysis incorporating ethnic diversity and systems approachesU01AG058589 · NIA · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI BOERWINKLE, ERIC A., DE JAGER, PHILIP L · 2018 to 2022
$11.1M
Cognitively Healthy Nonagenarians in the Cross Cohort Collaboration (CCC)RF1AG059421 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS HLTH SCIENCE CENTER · PI SESHADRI, SUDHA · 2018 to 2018
$6.1M
Collaborative GWAS of Dementia, AD and related MRI and Cognitive EndophenotypesR01AG033193 · NIA · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI SESHADRI, SUDHA · 2009 to 2016
$4.4M
Identification of a missing key element underlying apoE2 neuroprotection in Alzheimer's disease and the aging brainRF1AG061872 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS HLTH SCIENCE CENTER · PI HAN, XIANLIN, SESHADRI, SUDHA · 2018 to 2018
$3.4M
Preclinical AD: Correlates of Amyloid, Tau PET and fcMRI in Framingham Gen 3 Young AdultsR01AG049607 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS HLTH SCIENCE CENTER · PI SESHADRI, SUDHA · 2015 to 2019
$3.1M
British Heart Foundation FS/18/23/33512Department of HealthMedical Research Council MC_UU_00002/7Medical Research Council MC_UU_00011/1Medical Research Council MC_UU_00011/7Medical Research Council MR/M020894/1Medical Research Council MR/S019669/1NIA NIH HHS P30 AG010129NIA NIH HHS P30 AG066546NIA NIH HHS R01 AG033040NIA NIH HHS R01 AG033193NIA NIH HHS R01 AG049607NIA NIH HHS R01 AG054076NIA NIH HHS RF1 AG059421NIA NIH HHS RF1 AG061872NIA NIH HHS U01 AG049505NIA NIH HHS U01 AG052409NIA NIH HHS U01 AG058589NINDS NIH HHS R01 NS017950NINDS NIH HHS R01 NS030678NINDS NIH HHS R01 NS036695Wellcome Trust 204623/Z/16/ZWellcome Trust 208806/Z/17/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo investigate the role of body mass index (BMI), systolic blood pressure, and smoking behaviour in explaining the effect of education on the risk of cardiovascular disease outcomes.

designMendelian randomisation study.

settingUK Biobank and international genome-wide association study data.

participantsPredominantly participants of European ancestry. EXPOSURE: Educational attainment, BMI, systolic blood pressure, and smoking behaviour in observational analysis, and randomly allocated genetic variants to instrument these traits in mendelian randomisation. MAIN OUTCOMES MEASURE: The risk of coronary heart disease, stroke, myocardial infarction, and cardiovascular disease (all subtypes; all measured in odds ratio), and the degree to which this is mediated through BMI, systolic blood pressure, and smoking behaviour respectively.

resultsEach additional standard deviation of education (3.6 years) was associated with a 13% lower risk of coronary heart disease (odds ratio 0.86, 95% confidence interval 0.84 to 0.89) in observational analysis and a 37% lower risk (0.63, 0.60 to 0.67) in mendelian randomisation analysis. As a proportion of the total risk reduction, BMI was estimated to mediate 15% (95% confidence interval 13% to 17%) and 18% (14% to 23%) in the observational and mendelian randomisation estimates, respectively. Corresponding estimates were 11% (9% to 13%) and 21% (15% to 27%) for systolic blood pressure and 19% (15% to 22%) and 34% (17% to 50%) for smoking behaviour. All three risk factors combined were estimated to mediate 42% (36% to 48%) and 36% (5% to 68%) of the effect of education on coronary heart disease in observational and mendelian randomisation analyses, respectively. Similar results were obtained when investigating the risk of stroke, myocardial infarction, and cardiovascular disease.

conclusionsBMI, systolic blood pressure, and smoking behaviour mediate a substantial proportion of the protective effect of education on the risk of cardiovascular outcomes and intervening on these would lead to reductions in cases of cardiovascular disease attributable to lower levels of education. However, more than half of the protective effect of education remains unexplained and requires further investigation.

Indexed as

Educational StatusAdultAgedBlood PressureBody Mass IndexCardiovascular DiseasesFemaleHumansMaleMendelian Randomization AnalysisMiddle AgedMultivariate AnalysisOdds RatioRisk FactorsSmokingSocioeconomic Factors

Identifiers

PMID31122926
PMCPMC6529852
OpenAlexW2946081713

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.