Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31118471›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2019

Accelerating upward treeline shift in the Altai Mountains under last-century climate change.

Roberto Cazzolla Gatti, Terry Callaghan, Alena Velichevskaya, Anastasia Dudko, Luca Fabbio, Giovanna Battipaglia, Jingjing Liang

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed
6.8field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed, 109 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. A century of treeline and forest line data forBiodiversity data journal · 2025
    Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
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  12. North American tree migration paced by climate in the West, lagging in the East.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022
    Article
  13. Review
  14. Contrasting Climate Sensitivity ofFrontiers in plant science · 2022
    Article
  15. Article
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  17. Article
  18. Review
  19. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 5 institutions in 4 countries.

Roberto Cazzolla GattiDepartment of Forestry and Natural Resources, Purdue University, West Lafayette, USA. robertocazzollagatti@mail.tsu.ru.
Terry CallaghanBiological Institute, Tomsk State University, Tomsk, Russia.
Alena VelichevskayaBiological Institute, Tomsk State University, Tomsk, Russia.
Anastasia DudkoBiological Institute, Tomsk State University, Tomsk, Russia.
Luca FabbioDepartment of Biological, Geological and Environmental Sciences (DBGES), University of Catania, Catania, Italy.
Giovanna BattipagliaDepartment of Environmental, Biological, and Pharmaceutical Sciences and Technologies (DiSTABiF), University of Campania "Luigi Vanvitelli", Caserta, Italy.
Jingjing LiangDepartment of Forestry and Natural Resources, Purdue University, West Lafayette, USA.
National Research Tomsk State University · RUPurdue University West Lafayette · USUniversity of Campania "Luigi Vanvitelli" · ITUniversity of Catania · ITUniversity of Sheffield · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Treeline shift and tree growth often respond to climatic changes and it is critical to identify and quantify their dynamics. Some regions are particularly sensitive to climate change and the Altai Mountains, located in Central and East Asia, are showing unequivocal signs. The mean annual temperature in the area has increased by 1.3-1.7 °C in the last century. As this mountain range has ancient and protected forests on alpine slopes, we focus on determining the treeline structure and dynamics. We integrated in situ fine-scale allometric data with analyses from dendrochronological samples, high-resolution 3D drone photos and new satellite images to study the dynamics and underlying causal mechanisms of any treeline movement and growth changes in a remote preserved forest at the Aktru Research Station in the Altai Mountain. We show that temperature increase has a negative effect on mountain tree growth. In contrast, only younger trees grow at higher altitudes and we document a relatively fast upward shift of the treeline. During the last 52 years, treeline moved about 150 m upward and the rate of movement accelerated until recently. Before the 1950s, it never shifted over 2150-2200 m a.s.l. We suggest that a continuous upward expansion of the treeline would be at the expense of meadow and shrub species and radically change this high-mountain ecosystem with its endemic flora. This documented treeline shift represents clear evidence of the increased velocity of climate change during the last century.

Identifiers

PMID31118471
PMCPMC6531548
OpenAlexW2945005997

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.