Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31115311›Full record

ArticleEuro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin2019

Use of the moving epidemic method (MEM) to assess national surveillance data for respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) in the Netherlands, 2005 to 2017.

Laura M Vos, Anne C Teirlinck, José E Lozano, Tomás Vega, Gé A Donker, Andy Im Hoepelman, Louis J Bont, Jan Jelrik Oosterheert, Adam Meijer

Open access · diamondAbstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 28 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
28citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.9field-weighted citation impact, top 14% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

28 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 33 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Determining the timing of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) epidemics: a systematic review, 2016 to 2021; method categorisation and identification of influencing factors.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2024
    Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Laura M VosUniversity Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht University, Department of Internal Medicine and Infectious Diseases, Utrecht, the Netherlands.
Anne C TeirlinckCentre for infectious Disease Control Bilthoven, Centre for Infectious Diseases, Epidemiology and Surveillance, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, the Netherlands.
José E LozanoDirección General de Salud Pública, Consejería de Sanidad, Valladolid, Spain.
Tomás VegaDirección General de Salud Pública, Consejería de Sanidad, Valladolid, Spain.
Gé A DonkerNIVEL Primary Care Database - Sentinel Practices, Utrecht, the Netherlands.
Andy Im HoepelmanUniversity Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht University, Department of Internal Medicine and Infectious Diseases, Utrecht, the Netherlands.
Louis J BontWilhelmina Children's Hospital, Utrecht University, Department of Paediatric Infectious Diseases, Utrecht, the Netherlands.
Jan Jelrik OosterheertUniversity Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht University, Department of Internal Medicine and Infectious Diseases, Utrecht, the Netherlands.
Adam MeijerCentre for infectious Disease Control Bilthoven, Centre for Infectious Diseases Research, Diagnostics and laboratory Surveillance, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, the Netherlands.
Utrecht University · NLNational Institute for Public Health and the Environment · NLNetherlands Institute for Health Services Research · NLUniversity Medical Center Utrecht · NL

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BackgroundTo control respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), which causes acute respiratory infections, data and methods to assess its epidemiology are important.AimWe sought to describe RSV seasonality, affected age groups and RSV-type distribution over 12 consecutive seasons in the Netherlands, as well as to validate the moving epidemic method (MEM) for monitoring RSV epidemics.MethodsWe used 2005-17 laboratory surveillance data and sentinel data. For RSV seasonality evaluation, epidemic thresholds (i) at 1.2% of the cumulative number of RSV-positive patients per season and (ii) at 20 detections per week (for laboratory data) were employed. We also assessed MEM thresholds.ResultsIn laboratory data RSV was reported 25,491 times (no denominator). In sentinel data 5.6% (767/13,577) of specimens tested RSV positive. Over 12 seasons, sentinel data showed percentage increases of RSV positive samples. The average epidemic length was 18.0 weeks (95% confidence intervals (CI):  16.3-19.7) and 16.5 weeks (95% CI: 14.0-18.0) for laboratory and sentinel data, respectively. Epidemics started on average in week 46 (95% CI: 45-48) and 47 (95% CI:  46-49), respectively. The peak was on average in the first week of January in both datasets. MEM showed similar results to the other methods. RSV incidence was highest in youngest (0-1 and >1-2 years) and oldest (>65-75 and > 75 years) age groups, with age distribution remaining stable over time. RSV-type dominance alternated every one or two seasons.ConclusionsOur findings provide baseline information for immunisation advisory groups. The possibility of employing MEM to monitor RSV epidemics allows prospective, nearly real-time use of surveillance data.

Indexed as

Sentinel SurveillanceAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAge DistributionChildChild, PreschoolEpidemicsFemaleHumansIncidenceInfantInfant, NewbornLaboratoriesMaleepidemiologymoving epidemic methodrespiratory syncytial virusRSVsentinel surveillancesurveillancethe Netherlandsviral infections

Identifiers

PMID31115311
PMCPMC6530251
OpenAlexW2945605077

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.