Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31113401›Full record

ArticleBMC musculoskeletal disorders2019

Early pre-radiographic structural pathology precedes the onset of accelerated knee osteoarthritis.

Matthew S Harkey, Julie E Davis, Bing Lu, Lori Lyn Price, Robert J Ward, James W MacKay, Charles B Eaton, Grace H Lo, Mary F Barbe, Ming Zhang and 4 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC musculoskeletal disorders, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
26citing papers in PubMed
4.6field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

26 citing papers in PubMed, 43 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Human Knee as an Organ: Joint Tissue Collection, Processing, and Scoring for Multimodal Analyses.Laboratory investigation; a journal of technical methods and pathology · 2026
    Review
  2. The Age-dependent Influence of the Infrapatellar Fat Pad on Chondrocyte Extracellular Matrix Production.The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences · 2025
    Article
  3. Review
  4. Review
  5. Review
  6. Meniscal degeneration is prognostic of destabilzing meniscal tear and accelerated knee osteoarthritis: Data from the Osteoarthritis Initiative.Journal of orthopaedic research : official publication of the Orthopaedic Research Society · 2023
    Article
  7. Article
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  9. Article
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  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Evaluation of the degenerative pattern of PCL in osteoarthritis patients using UTE-T2 mapping.Asia-Pacific journal of sports medicine, arthroscopy, rehabilitation and technology · 2021
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Soluble biological markers in osteoarthritis.Therapeutic advances in musculoskeletal disease · 2021
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors at 9 institutions in 2 countries.

Matthew S HarkeyDivision of Rheumatology, Allergy, and Immunology, Tufts Medical Center, 800 Washington Street, Box 406, Boston, MA, 02111, USA. mharkey@tuftsmedicalcenter.org.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3480-3173
Julie E DavisDivision of Rheumatology, Allergy, and Immunology, Tufts Medical Center, 800 Washington Street, Box 406, Boston, MA, 02111, USA.
Bing LuDivision of Rheumatology, Immunology & Allergy, Brigham & Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Lori Lyn PriceThe Institute for Clinical Research and Health Policy Studies, Tufts Medical Center, Boston, MA, USA.
Robert J WardDepartment of Radiology, Tufts Medical Center, Boston, MA, USA.
James W MacKayDepartment of Radiology, University of Cambridge School of Clinical Medicine, Cambridge, UK.
Charles B EatonCenter for Primary Care and Prevention, Alpert Medical School of Brown University, Pawtucket, RI, USA.
Grace H LoMedical Care Line and Research Care Line, Houston Health Services Research and Development (HSR&D) Center of Excellence Michael E. DeBakey VAMC, Houston, TX, USA.
Mary F BarbeDepartment of Anatomy and Cell Biology, Temple University School of Medicine, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
Ming ZhangDivision of Rheumatology, Allergy, and Immunology, Tufts Medical Center, 800 Washington Street, Box 406, Boston, MA, 02111, USA.
Jincheng PangPfizer Inc., Cambridge, MA, USA.
Alina C StoutPublic Health Institute, Northeastern University, Boston, MA, USA.
Timothy E McAlindonDivision of Rheumatology, Allergy, and Immunology, Tufts Medical Center, 800 Washington Street, Box 406, Boston, MA, 02111, USA.
Jeffrey B DribanDivision of Rheumatology, Allergy, and Immunology, Tufts Medical Center, 800 Washington Street, Box 406, Boston, MA, 02111, USA.
Tufts Medical Center · USBrigham and Women's Hospital · USBrown University · USMichael E. DeBakey VA Medical Center · USNortheastern University · USPfizer (United States) · USTemple University · USTufts University · USUniversity of Cambridge · GB

Funding

Tufts Clinical and Translational Science Institute (Pilot Supplement)UL1TR002544 · NCATS · TUFTS UNIVERSITY BOSTON · PI SELKER, HARRY P. · 2018 to 2022
$50.2M
University of Massachusetts Center for Clinical and Translational ScienceTL1TR001454 · NCATS · UNIV OF MASSACHUSETTS MED SCH WORCESTER · PI LEWIS, BRIAN C · 2015 to 2024
$3.6M
Metabolites of Dietary Intake and Risk of Knee OsteoarthritisR01AR074447 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT SCH OF MED/DNT · PI LU, BING · 2019 to 2022
$2.6M
Characterization of Rapidly Progressive Knee OsteoarthritisR01AR065977 · NIAMS · TUFTS MEDICAL CENTER · PI DRIBAN, JEFFREY B · 2015 to 2018
$1.5M
DATA COORDINATING CENTER FOR THE OSTEOARTHRITIS INITIATIVE-264022258N01AR022258 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA SYS OFFICE/PRES · 2003 to 2003
–
CLINICAL CENTER FOR THE OSTEOARTHRITIS-264022262-264022262N01AR022262 · NIAMS · THE MEMORIAL HOSPITAL · PI ASSAF, ANNLOUISE R. · 2002 to 2006
–
CLINICAL CENTERS FOR THE OSTEOARTHRITIS INITIATIVE-264022259-264022259N01AR022259 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND AT BALT · PI HOCHBERG, MARC C. · 2002 to 2006
–
CLINICAL CENTERS FOR THE OSTEOARTHRITIS INITIATIVE-N01AR22260N01AR022260 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH · PI KWOH, KENT · 2002 to 2006
–
CLINICAL CENTERS FOR THE OSTEOARTHRITIS INITIATIVE-N01AR22261N01AR022261 · NIAMS · OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY RESEARCH · PI JACKSON, REBECCA · 2002 to 2006
–
National Institute of Arthritis and Musculoskeletal and Skin Diseases (US) N01-AR-2-2258National Institutes of Health (US) 5TL1TR14543NCATS NIH HHS TL1 TR001454NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR002544NIAMS NIH HHS N01-AR-2-2259NIAMS NIH HHS N01-AR-2-2260NIAMS NIH HHS N01-AR-2-2261NIAMS NIH HHS N01-AR-2-2262NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR065977NIAMS NIH HHS R01-AR065977NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR074447
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAccelerated knee osteoarthritis (AKOA) is characterized by more pain, impaired physical function, and greater likelihood to receive a joint replacement compared to individuals who develop the typical gradual onset of disease. Prognostic tools are needed to determine which structural pathologies precede the development of AKOA compared to individuals without AKOA. Therefore, the purpose of this manuscript was to determine which pre-radiographic structural features precede the development of AKOA.

methodsThe sample comprised participants in the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) who had at least one radiographically normal knee at baseline (Kellgren-Lawrence [KL] grade < 1). Participants were classified into 2 groups based on radiographic progression from baseline to 48 months: AKOA (KL grade change from < 1 to > 3) and No AKOA. The index visit was the study visit when participants met criteria for AKOA or a matched timepoint for those who did not develop AKOA. Magnetic resonance (MR) images were assessed for 12 structural features at the OAI baseline, and 1 and 2 years prior to the index visit. Separate logistic regression models (i.e. OAI baseline, 1 and 2 years prior) were used to determine which pre-radiographic structural features were more likely to antedate the development of AKOA compared to individuals not developing AKOA.

resultsAt the OAI baseline visit, degenerative cruciate ligaments (Odds Ratio [OR] = 2.2, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] = 1.3,3.5), infrapatellar fat pad signal intensity alteration (OR = 2.0, 95%CI = 1.2,3.2), medial/lateral meniscal pathology (OR = 2.1/2.4, 95%CI = 1.3,3.4/1.5,3.8), and greater quantitative knee effusion-synovitis (OR = 2.2, 95%CI = 1.4,3.4) were more likely to antedate the development of AKOA when compared to those that did not develop AKOA. These results were similar at one and two years prior to disease onset. Additionally, medial meniscus extrusion at one year prior to disease onset (OR = 3.5, 95%CI = 2.1,6.0) increased the likelihood of developing AKOA.

conclusionsEarly ligamentous degeneration, effusion/synovitis, and meniscal pathology precede the onset of AKOA and may be prognostic biomarkers.

Indexed as

AgedAnterior Cruciate LigamentDisease ProgressionFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMagnetic Resonance ImagingMaleMenisci, TibialMiddle AgedOsteoarthritis, KneePosterior Cruciate LigamentPrognosisRisk FactorsSynovitisTime FactorsBone marrow lesionCartilageEffusion-synovitisExtensor mechanismLigamentMeniscusMRITendons

Identifiers

PMID31113401
PMCPMC6530034
OpenAlexW2947922033

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.