Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31113362›Full record

ArticleBMC cardiovascular disorders2019

Development and external validation of predictive models for prevalent and recurrent atrial fibrillation: a protocol for the analysis of the CATCH ME combined dataset.

Winnie Chua, Christina L Easter, Eduard Guasch, Alice Sitch, Barbara Casadei, Harry J G M Crijns, Doreen Haase, Stéphane Hatem, Stefan Kääb, Lluis Mont and 6 more

Abstract readMulticenter StudyValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMC cardiovascular disorders, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Predicting recurrent atrial fibrillation after catheter ablation: a systematic review of prognostic models.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2020
    Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Observational
  4. Disturbed atrial metabolism, shear stress, and cardiac load contribute to atrial fibrillation after ablation: AXAFA biomolecule study.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2024
    Article
  5. Observational
  6. Dynamic risk assessment to improve quality of care in patients with atrial fibrillation: the 7th AFNET/EHRA Consensus Conference.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2021
    Article
  7. Review
  8. ArrhythmoGenoPharmacoTherapy.Frontiers in pharmacology · 2020
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Winnie ChuaInstitute of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Birmingham, Edgbaston, Birmingham, B15 2TT, UK.
Christina L EasterInstitute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.
Eduard GuaschHospital Clinic, IDIBAPS, University of Barcelona, Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain.
Alice SitchInstitute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.
Barbara CasadeiRadcliffe Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Harry J G M CrijnsCardiovascular Research Institute Maastricht (CARIM), Maastricht University, Maastricht, Netherlands.
Doreen HaaseAtrial Fibrillation NETwork (AFNET), Muenster, Germany.
Stéphane HatemIHU-ICAN Institute of Cardiometabolism and Nutrition, Paris, France.
Stefan KääbDepartment of Medicine I, University Hospital Munich, Ludwig-Maximilians-University, Munich, Germany.
Lluis MontNIHR Birmingham Biomedical Research Centre, University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust and University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.
Ulrich SchottenCardiovascular Research Institute Maastricht (CARIM), Maastricht University, Maastricht, Netherlands.
Moritz F SinnerDepartment of Medicine I, University Hospital Munich, Ludwig-Maximilians-University, Munich, Germany.
Karla HemmingInstitute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.
Jonathan J DeeksInstitute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.
Paulus KirchhofInstitute of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Birmingham, Edgbaston, Birmingham, B15 2TT, UK.
Larissa FabritzInstitute of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Birmingham, Edgbaston, Birmingham, B15 2TT, UK. l.fabritz@bham.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0002-9241-1733

Funding

British Heart Foundation CH/12/3/29609Department of Health SRF-2017-10-002
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAtrial fibrillation (AF) is caused by different mechanisms but current treatment strategies do not target these mechanisms. Stratified therapy based on mechanistic drivers and biomarkers of AF have the potential to improve AF prevention and management outcomes. We will integrate mechanistic insights with known pathophysiological drivers of AF in models predicting recurrent AF and prevalent AF to test hypotheses related to AF mechanisms and response to rhythm control therapy.

methodsWe will harmonise and combine baseline and outcome data from 12 studies collected by six centres from the United Kingdom, Germany, France, Spain, and the Netherlands which assess prevalent AF or recurrent AF. A Delphi process and statistical selection will be used to identify candidate clinical predictors. Prediction models will be developed in patients with AF for AF recurrence and AF-related outcomes, and in patients with or without AF at baseline for prevalent AF. Models will be used to test mechanistic hypotheses and investigate the predictive value of plasma biomarkers. DISCUSSION: This retrospective, harmonised, individual patient data analysis will use information from 12 datasets collected in five European countries. It is envisioned that the outcome of this analysis would provide a greater understanding of the factors associated with recurrent and prevalent AF, potentially allowing development of stratified approaches to prevention and therapy management.

Indexed as

Decision Support TechniquesHeart RateAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAtrial FibrillationDatabases, FactualData MiningDelphi TechniqueEuropeFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsAtrial fibrillationCombined databasePredictive modelStratified therapy

Identifiers

PMID31113362
PMCPMC6528378

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.