ArticleGeoHealth2019
Estimates of Present and Future Asthma Emergency Department Visits Associated With Exposure to Oak, Birch, and Grass Pollen in the United States.
Article in GeoHealth, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
21 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Synergistic health effects of air pollution, temperature, and pollen exposure: a systematic review of epidemiological evidence.Environmental health : a global access science source · 2020Pooled it
- The 2026 Men's FIFA Football World Cup: Evidence-Based Guidelines to Protect Player Health and Performance from Environmental Challenges.Sports medicine (Auckland, N.Z.) · 2026Review
- One Step Further: Integrating Evidence-Based Guidelines into Practice to Address Environmental Challenges at the Men's 2026 FIFA World Cup.Sports medicine (Auckland, N.Z.) · 2026Review
- Effects of climate change on pollen season features of herbaceous species in the Milan area, Northern Italy.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Inhalant Mediated Allergy: Immunobiology, Clinical Manifestations and Diagnosis.Clinical reviews in allergy & immunology · 2025Review
- New York State Climate Impacts Assessment Chapter 07: Human Health and Safety.Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences · 2024Review
- Outdoor aeroallergen impacts on asthma exacerbation among sensitized and nonsensitized Philadelphia children.The journal of allergy and clinical immunology. Global · 2024Article
- Current and Future Effects of Climate Change on Airborne Allergens.Current allergy and asthma reports · 2024Review
- Climate change, airborne allergens, and three translational mitigation approaches.EBioMedicine · 2023Review
- Pollen and asthma morbidity in Atlanta: A 26-year time-series study.Environment international · 2023Article
- The Role of Climate Change in Asthma.Advances in experimental medicine and biology · 2023Article
- Projected climate-driven changes in pollen emission season length and magnitude over the continental United States.Nature communications · 2022Article
- Modeling past and future spatiotemporal distributions of airborne allergenic pollen across the contiguous United States.Frontiers in allergy · 2022Article
- Pollen Exposure and Associated Healthcare Utilization: A Population-based Study Using Health Maintenance Organization Data in the Washington, DC, Area.Annals of the American Thoracic Society · 2021Observational
- Seasonal variation of lung function in cystic fibrosis: longitudinal modeling to compare a Midwest US cohort to international populations.The Science of the total environment · 2021Article
- [Analysis of sensitization characteristics of artemisia pollen in the Inner Mongolian grassland region of China].Lin chuang er bi yan hou tou jing wai ke za zhi = Journal of clinical otorhinolaryngology head and neck surgery · 2020Article
- Work Adaptations Insufficient to Address Growing Heat Risk for U.S. Agricultural Workers.Environmental research letters : ERL [Web site] · 2020Article
- Urban atmospheric levels of allergenic pollen: comparison of two locations in Salamanca, Central-Western Spain.Environmental monitoring and assessment · 2020Article
- Estimating the Health-Related Costs of 10 Climate-Sensitive U.S. Events During 2012.GeoHealth · 2019Article
- Effects of Increasing Aridity on Ambient Dust and Public Health in the U.S. Southwest Under Climate Change.GeoHealth · 2019Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
9 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Pollen is an important environmental cause of allergic asthma episodes. Prior work has established a proof of concept for assessing projected climate change impacts on future oak pollen exposure and associated health impacts. This paper uses additional monitor data and epidemiologic functions to extend prior analyses, reporting new estimates of the current and projected future health burden of oak, birch, and grass pollen across the contiguous United States. Our results suggest that tree pollen in the spring currently accounts for between 25,000 and 50,000 pollen-related asthma emergency department (ED) visits annually (95% confidence interval: 14,000 to 100,000), roughly two thirds of which occur among people under age 18. Grass pollen in the summer season currently accounts for less than 10,000 cases annually (95% confidence interval: 4,000 to 16,000). Compared to a baseline with 21st century population growth but constant pollen, future temperature and precipitation show an increase in ED visits of 14% in 2090 for a higher greenhouse gas emissions scenario, but only 8% for a moderate emissions scenario, reflecting projected increases in pollen season length. Grass pollen, which is more sensitive to changes in climatic conditions, is a primary contributor to future ED visits, with the largest effects in the Northeast, Midwest, and Southern Great Plains regions. More complete assessment of the current and future health burden of pollen is limited by the availability of data on pollen types (e.g., ragweed), other health effects (e.g., other respiratory disease), and economic consequences (e.g., medication costs).
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.