Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31104603›Full record

ReviewPhilosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences2019

Outbreak analytics: a developing data science for informing the response to emerging pathogens.

Jonathan A Polonsky, Amrish Baidjoe, Zhian N Kamvar, Anne Cori, Kara Durski, W John Edmunds, Rosalind M Eggo, Sebastian Funk, Laurent Kaiser, Patrick Keating and 9 more

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 83 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
83citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

83 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  10. Modelling practices, data provisioning, sharing and dissemination needs for pandemic decision-making: a European survey-based modellers' perspective, 2020 to 2022.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2025
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23 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

19 authors.

Jonathan A Polonsky1 Department of Health Emergency Information and Risk Assessment, World Health Organization , Avenue Appia 20, 1211 Geneva , Switzerland.
Amrish Baidjoe4 Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Imperial College London , Medical School Building, St Mary's Campus, Norfolk Place London W2 1PG , UK.
Zhian N Kamvar4 Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Imperial College London , Medical School Building, St Mary's Campus, Norfolk Place London W2 1PG , UK.
Anne Cori4 Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Imperial College London , Medical School Building, St Mary's Campus, Norfolk Place London W2 1PG , UK.
Kara Durski2 Department of Infectious Hazard Management, World Health Organization , Avenue Appia 20, 1211 Geneva , Switzerland.
W John Edmunds5 Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine , Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT , UK.
Rosalind M Eggo5 Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine , Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT , UK.
Sebastian Funk5 Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine , Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT , UK.
Laurent Kaiser3 Faculty of Medicine, University of Geneva , 1 rue Michel-Servet, 1211 Geneva , Switzerland.
Patrick Keating5 Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine , Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT , UK.
Olivier le Polain de Waroux5 Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine , Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT , UK.
Michael Marks7 Clinical Research Department, Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine , Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT , UK.
Paula Moraga10 Centre for Health Informatics, Computing and Statistics (CHICAS), Lancaster Medical School, Lancaster University , Lancaster LA1 4YW , UK.
Oliver Morgan1 Department of Health Emergency Information and Risk Assessment, World Health Organization , Avenue Appia 20, 1211 Geneva , Switzerland.
Pierre Nouvellet4 Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Imperial College London , Medical School Building, St Mary's Campus, Norfolk Place London W2 1PG , UK.
Ruwan Ratnayake5 Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine , Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT , UK.
Chrissy H Roberts7 Clinical Research Department, Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine , Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT , UK.
Jimmy Whitworth5 Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine , Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT , UK.
Thibaut Jombart4 Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Imperial College London , Medical School Building, St Mary's Campus, Norfolk Place London W2 1PG , UK.

Funding

Department of Health PR-OD-1017-20001Medical Research Council MR/R015600/1Medical Research Council MR/S003975/1Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust 210758/Z/18/ZWorld Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Despite continued efforts to improve health systems worldwide, emerging pathogen epidemics remain a major public health concern. Effective response to such outbreaks relies on timely intervention, ideally informed by all available sources of data. The collection, visualization and analysis of outbreak data are becoming increasingly complex, owing to the diversity in types of data, questions and available methods to address them. Recent advances have led to the rise of outbreak analytics, an emerging data science focused on the technological and methodological aspects of the outbreak data pipeline, from collection to analysis, modelling and reporting to inform outbreak response. In this article, we assess the current state of the field. After laying out the context of outbreak response, we critically review the most common analytics components, their inter-dependencies, data requirements and the type of information they can provide to inform operations in real time. We discuss some challenges and opportunities and conclude on the potential role of outbreak analytics for improving our understanding of, and response to outbreaks of emerging pathogens. This article is part of the theme issue 'Modelling infectious disease outbreaks in humans, animals and plants: epidemic forecasting and control'. This theme issue is linked with the earlier issue 'Modelling infectious disease outbreaks in humans, animals and plants: approaches and important themes'.

Indexed as

Data ScienceModels, BiologicalCommunicable Diseases, EmergingDisease OutbreaksHumansepidemicsinfectiousmethodspipelinesoftwaretools

Identifiers

PMID31104603
PMCPMC6558557

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.