Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31102656›Full record

ArticleTravel medicine and infectious disease

The effects of past SARS experience and proximity on declines in numbers of travelers to the Republic of Korea during the 2015 MERS outbreak: A retrospective study.

Heesoo Joo, Ronald E Henry, Yeon-Kyeng Lee, Andre D Berro, Brian A Maskery

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Article in Travel medicine and infectious disease. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Heesoo JooDivision of Global Migration and Quarantine, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA. Electronic address: hjoo@cdc.gov.
Ronald E HenryDivision of Global Migration and Quarantine, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Yeon-Kyeng LeeKorea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Cheongju-si, Chungcheongbuk-do, Republic of Korea.
Andre D BerroDivision of Global Migration and Quarantine, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Brian A MaskeryDivision of Global Migration and Quarantine, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.

Funding

Intramural CDC HHS CC999999
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe experience of previous sizable outbreaks may affect travelers' decisions to travel to an area with an ongoing outbreak.

methodsWe estimated changes in monthly numbers of visitors to the Republic of Korea (ROK) in 2015 compared to projected values by selected areas. We tested whether areas' experience of a previous SARS outbreak of ≥100 cases or distance to the ROK had a significant effect on travel to the ROK during the MERS outbreak using t-tests and regression models.

resultsThe percentage changes in visitors from areas with a previous SARS outbreak of ≥100 cases decreased more than the percentage changes in visitors from their counterparts in June (52.4% vs. 23.3%) and July (60.0% vs. 31.4%) during the 2015 MERS outbreak. The percentage changes in visitors from the close and intermediate categories decreased more than the far category. The results from regression models and sensitivity analyses demonstrated that areas with ≥100 SARS cases and closer proximity to the ROK had significantly larger percentage decreases in traveler volumes during the outbreak.

conclusionsDuring the 2015 MERS outbreak, areas with a previous sizable SARS outbreak and areas near the ROK showed greater decreases in percentage changes in visitors to the ROK.

Indexed as

Coronavirus InfectionsHumansMiddle East Respiratory Syndrome CoronavirusRegression AnalysisRepublic of KoreaRetrospective StudiesSevere Acute Respiratory SyndromeTravel

Identifiers

PMID31102656
PMCPMC6688921

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.