Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31101081›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2019

Contrasting HIV prevalence trends among young women and men in Zambia in the past 12 years: data from demographic and health surveys 2002-2014.

Chola Nakazwe, Charles Michelo, Ingvild F Sandøy, Knut Fylkesnes

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed
8.9field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 33 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Chola NakazweCentre for International Health, University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway. cholanakazwe@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7922-1222
Charles MicheloSchool of Public Health, University of Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia.
Ingvild F SandøyCentre for International Health, University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway.
Knut FylkesnesCentre for International Health, University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway.
University of Zambia · ZMCentral Statistical Office · ZMUniversity of Bergen · NO

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe HIV epidemic remains a concern on the global health agenda, despite progress made in reducing incidence. Investigation of trends among young people is important for monitoring HIV incidence and informing programming. The study examined geographical and sub-population differences in HIV prevalence trends among young people aged 15-24 years in Zambia.

methodsThis study analysed data from Zambia Demographic and Health Surveys (ZDHSs) that were conducted in 2001-2, 2007, and 2013-14. A two-stage cluster stratified sampling procedure was used to select samples of 8050, 7969, and 18,052 for the three surveys, respectively. Young people (15-24 years) with known HIV status were selected for analysis. The outcome variable was HIV status. Log binomial regression analysis of generalised linear models was used to test for trends.

resultsOverall HIV prevalence declined over the period 2001-2 to 2013-14 among women and men aged 15-49 years (17.8 and 12.9% to 15.1 and 11.3%, respectively). There was, however, an increase in HIV prevalence among urban young men over this period, from 3.7% in 2001-2 to 7.3% in 2013-14 (aRR 2.17, 95% CI 0.99-4.75), and, in rural areas, from 2.6 to 3.6% (aRR 1.46, 95% CI 0.78-2.75). In contrast, HIV prevalence among women declined over the same period of time. In urban areas, HIV prevalence among women declined from 15.2 to 10.7% (aRR 0.66, 95% CI 0.53-0.93), while in rural areas it declined from 8.2 to 4.8% (aRR 0.41, 95% CI 0.59-0.85). In addition, there was a narrowing gender gap in terms of HIV infection, as the prevalence ratio of females to males declined from 4.2 and 3.1 to 1.5 and 1.3, in urban and rural areas, respectively.

conclusionsThe increase in HIV prevalence among urban young men over the past 12 years, contrasting declining trends among young women in both urban and rural populations, suggests differential effects of prevention efforts. Furthermore, findings that Zambia's overall national HIV prevalence decline masks some striking sex and rural/urban differentials, indicate the need for reconsidering the prevention efforts for young urban men.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultFemaleHealth SurveysHIV InfectionsHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceRural PopulationUrban PopulationYoung AdultZambiaHIV prevalence - AIDS- young people - Zambia

Identifiers

PMID31101081
PMCPMC6525340
OpenAlexW2946951638

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.