Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31097836›Full record

ArticleBiometrika2019

Identifiability and estimation of structural vector autoregressive models for subsampled and mixed-frequency time series.

A Tank, E B Fox, A Shojaie

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Biometrika, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Granger Causality: A Review and Recent Advances.Annual review of statistics and its application · 2022
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Causal Discovery from Temporally Aggregated Time Series.Uncertainty in artificial intelligence : proceedings of the ... conference. Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence · 2017
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

A TankDepartment of Statistics, University of Washington, Box 354322, Seattle, Washington 98195, USA.
E B FoxDepartment of Statistics, University of Washington, Box 354322, Seattle, Washington 98195, USA.
A ShojaieDepartment of Biostatistics, University of Washington, Box 357232, Seattle, Washington 98195, USA.

Funding

Machine Learning Tools for Discovery and Analysis of Active Metabolic PathwaysR01GM114029 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI SHOJAIE, ALI · 2016 to 2020
$1.7M
Statistical Methods for Network-Based Integrative Analysis of CVD Epigenetic DataK01HL124050 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI SHOJAIE, ALI · 2016 to 2020
$693k
NHLBI NIH HHS K01 HL124050NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM114029
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Causal inference in multivariate time series is challenging because the sampling rate may not be as fast as the time scale of the causal interactions, so the observed series is a subsampled version of the desired series. Furthermore, series may be observed at different sampling rates, yielding mixed-frequency series. To determine instantaneous and lagged effects between series at the causal scale, we take a model-based approach that relies on structural vector autoregressive models. We present a unifying framework for parameter identifiability and estimation under subsampling and mixed frequencies when the noise, or shocks, is non-Gaussian. By studying the structural case, we develop identifiability and estimation methods for the causal structure of lagged and instantaneous effects at the desired time scale. We further derive an exact expectation-maximization algorithm for inference in both subsampled and mixed-frequency settings. We validate our approach in simulated scenarios and on a climate and an econometric dataset.

Indexed as

Mixed frequencyNon-Gaussian errorStructural vector autoregressive modelSubsamplingTime series

Identifiers

PMID31097836
PMCPMC6508036

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.