Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31088530›Full record

Trial reportBMC research notes2019

External validation of pooled cohort equations using systolic blood pressure intervention trial data.

Takashi Kuragaichi, Yuki Kataoka, Chisato Miyakoshi, Tadashi Miyamoto, Yukihito Sato

Abstract readRandomized Controlled TrialValidation Study
In one paragraph

Trial report in BMC research notes, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Observational
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Insights into Systemic Disease through Retinal Imaging-Based Oculomics.Translational vision science & technology · 2020
    Review
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Takashi KuragaichiDepartment of Cardiology, Hyogo Prefectural Amagasaki General Medical Center, 2-17-77, Higashinaniwa-Cho, Amagasaki, Hyogo, 660-8550, Japan. jtdcb702@ybb.ne.jp.
Yuki KataokaHospital Care Research Unit, Hyogo Prefectural Amagasaki General Medical Center, Amagasaki, Hyogo, Japan.
Chisato MiyakoshiDepartment of Pediatrics, Kobe City Medical Center General Hospital, Kobe, Hyogo, Japan.
Tadashi MiyamotoDepartment of Cardiology, Hyogo Prefectural Amagasaki General Medical Center, 2-17-77, Higashinaniwa-Cho, Amagasaki, Hyogo, 660-8550, Japan.
Yukihito SatoDepartment of Cardiology, Hyogo Prefectural Amagasaki General Medical Center, 2-17-77, Higashinaniwa-Cho, Amagasaki, Hyogo, 660-8550, Japan.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThe risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) is estimated using the American College of Cardiology (ACC)/American Heart Association (AHA) Pooled Cohort Equations (PCEs). However, the accuracy of this tool remains controversial, particularly among patients who are recommended statin therapy according to the ACC/AHA guidelines. We performed external validation of PCEs among patients eligible for statin therapy using data from the systolic blood pressure intervention trial (SPRINT).

resultsOur study included 4057 patients from among the 9361 patients in SPRINT. The mean patient age was 64.5 years, and the median predicted 10-year risks of ASCVD were 17.2% and 12.3% for men and women, respectively. Over a median follow-up of 3.3 years, 133 primary events (including 23 cardiovascular deaths) were noted, whereas 304 events were predicted by the PCEs. The PCEs demonstrated poor calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow test, p < 0.001) and overestimated the probability consistently. Additionally, they showed moderate discrimination [area under the curve: 0.65 (95% confidence interval, 0.60-0.69)]. This study demonstrates that PCEs might overestimate the risk of ASCVD in patients who are recommended statin therapy.

Indexed as

AtherosclerosisBlood PressureCohort StudiesFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRisk FactorsSystoleAtherosclerosisCalibrationDiscriminationPooled cohort equationsStatin therapy

Identifiers

PMID31088530
PMCPMC6518641

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.