Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31086311›Full record

ArticleNature microbiology2019

The global distribution of Bacillus anthracis and associated anthrax risk to humans, livestock and wildlife.

Colin J Carlson, Ian T Kracalik, Noam Ross, Kathleen A Alexander, Martin E Hugh-Jones, Mark Fegan, Brett T Elkin, Tasha Epp, Todd K Shury, Wenyi Zhang and 3 more

Abstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Nature microbiology, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 143 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
143citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
10.5field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

143 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 282 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Postexposure Prophylaxis and Treatment of Bacillus anthracis Infections: A Systematic Review and Meta-analyses of Animal Models, 1947-2019.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2022
    Pooled it
  2. Risk Factors for Death or Meningitis in Adults Hospitalized for Cutaneous Anthrax, 1950-2018: A Systematic Review.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2022
    Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
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83 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 12 institutions in 5 countries.

Colin J CarlsonNational Socio-Environmental Synthesis Center, University of Maryland, Annapolis, MD, USA.
Ian T KracalikSpatial Epidemiology & Ecology Research Lab, Department of Geography, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA.
Noam RossEcoHealth Alliance, New York, NY, USA.
Kathleen A AlexanderDepartment of Fish and Wildlife Conservation, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA, USA.
Martin E Hugh-JonesSchool of the Coast and Environment, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, LA, USA.
Mark FeganAgriBio, Centre for Agribiosciences, Biosciences Research, Department of Economic Development, Jobs, Transport and Resources, Bundoora, Victoria, Australia.
Brett T ElkinDepartment of Environment and Natural Resources, Government of the Northwest Territories, Yellowknife, Northwest Territories, Canada.
Tasha EppDepartment of Large Animal Clinical Sciences, Western College of Veterinary Medicine, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, Canada.
Todd K ShuryParks Canada Agency, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8410-4226
Wenyi ZhangCenter for Disease Surveillance & Research, Institute of Disease Control and Prevention of PLA, Beijing, China.
Mehriban BagirovaScientific Research Veterinary Institute, Baku, Azerbaijan.
Wayne M GetzDepartment of Environmental Science, Policy, and Management, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA.
Jason K BlackburnSpatial Epidemiology & Ecology Research Lab, Department of Geography, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA. jkblackburn@ufl.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0928-4831
University of Florida · USAgriBio · AUAzerbaijan Scientific-Research & Design-Prospecting Power Engineering Institute · AZBeijing Center for Disease Prevention and Control · CNEcoHealth Alliance · USGeorgetown University · USGovernment of Northwest Territories · CALouisiana State University · USParks Canada · CAUniversity of California, Berkeley · USUniversity of Saskatchewan · CAVirginia Tech · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Bacillus anthracis is a spore-forming, Gram-positive bacterium responsible for anthrax, an acute infection that most significantly affects grazing livestock and wild ungulates, but also poses a threat to human health. The geographic extent of B. anthracis is poorly understood, despite multi-decade research on anthrax epizootic and epidemic dynamics; many countries have limited or inadequate surveillance systems, even within known endemic regions. Here, we compile a global occurrence dataset of human, livestock and wildlife anthrax outbreaks. With these records, we use boosted regression trees to produce a map of the global distribution of B. anthracis as a proxy for anthrax risk. We estimate that 1.83 billion people (95% credible interval (CI): 0.59-4.16 billion) live within regions of anthrax risk, but most of that population faces little occupational exposure. More informatively, a global total of 63.8 million poor livestock keepers (95% CI: 17.5-168.6 million) and 1.1 billion livestock (95% CI: 0.4-2.3 billion) live within vulnerable regions. Human and livestock vulnerability are both concentrated in rural rainfed systems throughout arid and temperate land across Eurasia, Africa and North America. We conclude by mapping where anthrax risk could disrupt sensitive conservation efforts for wild ungulates that coincide with anthrax-prone landscapes.

Indexed as

Animal DiseasesAnimalsAnimals, WildAnthraxBacillus anthracisDisease OutbreaksEnvironmental MicrobiologyGeographyHumansLivestockModels, BiologicalPublic HealthRisk AssessmentRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID31086311
OpenAlexW2886580403

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.