Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31085069›Full record

ArticleAnnals of epidemiology2019

Joint modeling of concurrent binary outcomes in a longitudinal observational study using inverse probability of treatment weighting for treatment effect estimation.

George O Agogo, Terrence E Murphy, Gail J McAvay, Heather G Allore

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of epidemiology, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

George O AgogoDepartment of Internal Medicine, Section of Geriatrics, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT.
Terrence E MurphyDepartment of Internal Medicine, Section of Geriatrics, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT; Department of Biostatistics, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT.
Gail J McAvayDepartment of Internal Medicine, Section of Geriatrics, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT.
Heather G AlloreDepartment of Internal Medicine, Section of Geriatrics, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT; Department of Biostatistics, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT. Electronic address: heather.allore@yale.edu.

Funding

Yale Study Support Suite (YES3): Dashboard and Web Portal Software Supporting Research Workflow through integrated, customizable REDCap External ModulesP30AG021342 · NIA · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI Denise Esserman · 2002 to 2026
$37.9M
Yale Alzheimer Disease Research CenterP50AG047270 · NIA · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI STRITTMATTER, STEPHEN M · 2015 to 2019
$8.3M
Individualized Absolute Risk calculator For Persons With Multiple Chronic ConditionsR01AG047891 · NIA · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI ALLORE, HEATHER GWYNN · 2015 to 2017
$990k
NIA NIH HHS P30 AG021342NIA NIH HHS P50 AG047270NIA NIH HHS R01 AG047891
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeCorrelated healthcare utilization outcomes may be encoded as binary outcomes in epidemiologic studies. We demonstrate how to account for correlation between concurrent binary outcomes and confounding by person characteristics when estimating a treatment effect in observational studies.

methodsWe present a joint shared-parameter model, weighted by inverse probability of treatment weights (IPTW) to account for confounding. The model is evaluated in a simulation study that emulates the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey data and compared with a covariate-adjusted joint model and with separate outcome models (IPTW weighted and covariate adjusted).

resultsFor the IPTW-weighted joint model, relative bias in the estimated treatment effect on outcome 1 ranged from -0.057 to -0.033 and outcome 2 from -0.077 to -0.043. For the covariate-adjusted joint model, relative bias ranged from -0.010 to -0.083 for outcome 1 and from -0.087 to -0.110 for outcome 2. The covariate-adjusted joint model estimated the effect more closely than the covariate-adjusted separate model. The IPTW-weighted joint model estimated the effect more closely for outcome 1.

conclusionsThe IPTW-weighted joint model handles correlation between binary outcomes, adjusts for confounding, and estimates the treatment effect accurately in observational studies. We illustrate the contribution of person-specific effects in estimating personalized risk.

Indexed as

Models, StatisticalObservational Studies as TopicConfounding Factors, EpidemiologicHumansMonte Carlo MethodProbabilityPropensity ScoreTreatment OutcomeCorrelated outcomesJoint modelPropensity scoreShared-parameter modelSimulation study

Identifiers

PMID31085069
PMCPMC6626675

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.