ArticleScience (New York, N.Y.)2019
Measles and the canonical path to elimination.
Article in Science (New York, N.Y.), 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
25 citing papers in PubMed.
- Time-series modeling of epidemics in complex populations: Detecting changes in incidence volatility over time.PLoS computational biology · 2025Article
- Measles is resurging in the Americas and the world is watching.Nature reviews. Microbiology · 2025Article
- Adjusting mobile phone data to account for children's travel and the impact on measles dynamics in Zambia.American journal of epidemiology · 2025Article
- Fitting dynamic measles models to subnational case notification data from Ethiopia: Methodological challenges and key considerations.PLoS computational biology · 2025Article
- Measles and rubella seroprevalence in adults using residual blood samples from health facilities and household serosurveys in Palghar District, Maharashtra, India, 2018 - 2019.Epidemiology and infection · 2024Article
- How mathematical modelling can inform outbreak response vaccination.BMC infectious diseases · 2024Review
- Spatial scales of COVID-19 transmission in Mexico.PNAS nexus · 2024Article
- Possible Paths to Measles Eradication: Conceptual Frameworks, Strategies, and Tactics.Vaccines · 2024Review
- Congenital Rubella Syndrome Does Not Increase with Introduction of Rubella-Containing Vaccine.Vaccines · 2024Article
- Epidemiology of confirmed measles virus cases, surveillance, incidence, and associated factors in Eritrea: 18-year retrospective analysis.Frontiers in public health · 2023Article
- Feasibility of measles and rubella vaccination programmes for disease elimination: a modelling study.The Lancet. Global health · 2022Article
- Prioritizing COVID-19 vaccination efforts and dose allocation within Madagascar.BMC public health · 2022Article
- Infectious disease in an era of global change.Nature reviews. Microbiology · 2022Review
- Dissecting recurrent waves of pertussis across the boroughs of London.PLoS computational biology · 2022Review
- Examination of scenarios introducing rubella vaccine in the Democratic Republic of the Congo.Vaccine: X · 2021Article
- Challenges in evaluating risks and policy options around endemic establishment or elimination of novel pathogens.Epidemics · 2021Article
- Socioeconomic deprivation is inversely associated with measles incidence: a longitudinal small-area analysis, Germany, 2001 to 2017.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2021Article
- The top 1%: quantifying the unequal distribution of malaria in Brazil.Malaria journal · 2021Article
- Vaccination strategies for measles control and elimination: time to strengthen local initiatives.BMC medicine · 2021Article
- Measles dynamics on network models with optimal control strategies.Advances in difference equations · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
8 authors.
Funding
Abstract
All World Health Organization regions have set measles elimination goals. We find that as countries progress toward these goals, they undergo predictable changes in the size and frequency of measles outbreaks. A country's position on this "canonical path" is driven by both measles control activities and demographic factors, which combine to change the effective size of the measles-susceptible population, thereby driving the country through theoretically established dynamic regimes. Further, position on the path to elimination provides critical information for guiding vaccination efforts, such as the age profile of susceptibility, that could only otherwise be obtained through costly field studies or sophisticated analysis. Equipped with this information, countries can gain insight into their current and future measles epidemiology and select appropriate strategies to more quickly achieve elimination goals.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.