Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31061027›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2019

Public health impact model estimating the impact of introducing an adjuvanted recombinant zoster vaccine into the UK universal mass vaccination programme.

Desirée A M van Oorschot, Manjit Hunjan, Benjamin Bracke, Stéphane Lorenc, Desmond Curran, Helen Starkie-Camejo

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
1.1field-weighted citation impact, top 22% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 23 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Informing decisions in light of parameter uncertainty - an economic evaluation of the adjuvanted recombinant herpes zoster vaccine in Sweden.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2026
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  15. Epidemiological Impact and Cost-Effectiveness of Varicella Vaccination Strategies in the United Kingdom.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2021
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Desirée A M van OorschotGSK, Wavre, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0002-0382-0333
Manjit HunjanGSK, Uxbridge, UK.
Benjamin BrackeGSK, Wavre, Belgium.
Stéphane LorencFreelance on behalf of GSK, Wavre, Belgium.
Desmond CurranGSK, Wavre, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0002-7423-0111
Helen Starkie-CamejoGSK, Uxbridge, UK.
GlaxoSmithKline (Belgium) · BE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesIn 2013, the herpes zoster (HZ) immunisation programme was introduced in the UK, recommending vaccination of adults 70 years of age (YOA) with the zoster vaccine live (ZVL), the only vaccine available at the time. The recently approved adjuvanted recombinant zoster vaccine (RZV) has a substantially different clinical profile that may offer additional benefits.This study aimed to 1) assess the public health impact (PHI) of introducing RZV in the UK compared with the current vaccination strategy and 2) explore via scenario analyses the optimal age group of vaccination in terms of PHI.

designA previously developed health economic model was adapted to the UK setting.

settingCalculations were based on efficacy data from pivotal clinical trials, HZ incidence and postherpetic neuralgia (PHN) probability from a UK study and HZ-associated complication rates from published literature. POPULATION: The base-case population considered a 2018-projected UK vaccination cohort of individuals 70 YOA.

interventionsVaccination with ZVL or RZV, assuming a first-dose coverage of 48.3% for both vaccines and 70% compliance for the second dose of RZV. OUTCOME MEASURES: Outcomes included reduction of HZ and PHN cases, complications and the use of healthcare resources over a life-time horizon. The impact of coverage and second-dose compliance was also explored.

resultsCompared with no vaccination, RZV would lead to a reduction of 30 262 HZ and 5409 PHN cases while ZVL would lead to a reduction of 7909 HZ and 3567 PHN cases. The number needed to vaccinate to prevent 1 HZ case is 12 with RZV and 45 with ZVL. The highest PHI with RZV could be achieved in individuals 60 or 65 YOA.

conclusionUnder the model assumptions, RZV is predicted to avert more HZ and PHN cases compared with ZVL. Results were robust under different scenario and sensitivity analyses.

Indexed as

Mass VaccinationPublic HealthAdjuvants, ImmunologicAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleHealth Care SurveysHerpes ZosterHerpes Zoster VaccineHumansMaleModels, TheoreticalNeuralgia, PostherpeticUnited KingdomAdjuvants, ImmunologicHerpes Zoster Vaccineadult vaccinationhealth policyherpes zosterpublic healthrecombinant zoster vaccineshingles

Identifiers

PMID31061027
PMCPMC6502027
OpenAlexW2943914812

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.