Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31055663›Full record

ArticleEuropean spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society2019

New insights into the natural course and clinical relevance of Modic changes over 2 years following lumbar limited discectomy: analysis of prospective collected data.

Richard Bostelmann, Athanasios Petridis, Katinka Fischer, Peter Vajkoczy, Tamara Bostelmann, Martin Barth

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In one paragraph

Article in European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. A new hernia blocking system to prevent recurrent lumbar disc herniation: surgical technique, intraoperative findings and six-months post-operative outcomes.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2025
    Trial
  3. Article
  4. Characteristics of endplate changes in patients with lumbar disc herniation treated by discectomy and their effects on clinical symptoms during one-year postoperative follow-up.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. The Michel Benoist and Robert Mulholland yearly European spine journal review: a survey of the "surgical and research" articles in European spine journal, 2019.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2020
    Review
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Richard BostelmannDepartment of Neurosurgery, Medical Faculty, University Hospital Duesseldorf, Moorenstrasse 5, 40225, Duesseldorf, Germany. richard.bostelmann@med.uni-duesseldorf.de.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0286-5724
Athanasios PetridisDepartment of Neurosurgery, Medical Faculty, University Hospital Duesseldorf, Moorenstrasse 5, 40225, Duesseldorf, Germany.
Katinka FischerMathematical Institute, Heinrich Heine University, Duesseldorf, Germany.
Peter VajkoczyDepartment of Neurosurgery, Charité Universitätsmedizin, Berlin, Germany.
Tamara BostelmannDepartment of Neurosurgery, Medical Faculty, University Hospital Duesseldorf, Moorenstrasse 5, 40225, Duesseldorf, Germany.
Martin BarthDepartment of Neurosurgery, Klinikum Frankfurt Höchst, Frankfurt, Germany.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeFew retrospective studies have addressed Modic changes (MC) following lumbar spine surgery, though it is usually assumed that MC increase in grade and incidence. To test this conventional wisdom, we investigated the natural course of MC following primary lumbar limited discectomy with two-year follow-up. In addition, a possible clinical relevance to those changes was assessed.

methodsThe data of the control group (278 subjects) of a prospective randomized, controlled trial (RCT) were evaluated retrospectively.

resultsWe did not observe a simple increase in MC with regard to grade. There is variable activity observed in Type 2 (at 12 months) and in Type 1 (at 24 months). Conversion from one grade to another may occur and may be upward or downward. The incidence of MC increased slightly over time, as after surgery a decreasing percentage of the study group remained without MC over two years (1 year: 34% (85/250); 2 years: 30% (72/237)). Radiological parameters (rotation, translation, and spondylolisthesis) had no significant correlation to MC or MC subtypes. Lastly, we found that neither the different MC types nor their changes were correlated with clinical parameters (VAS back, VAS leg, ODI score) preoperatively or during follow-up.

conclusionThe pattern of Modic changes following lumbar limited discectomy is complex, not simply increasing. There is variable activity in MC Types 1 and 2 at the different time points of follow-up, and conversion from a higher grader to a lower one or vice versa is possible. These slides can be retrieved under Electronic Supplementary Material.

Indexed as

DiskectomyAdultFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansIntervertebral Disc DisplacementLumbar VertebraeMagnetic Resonance ImagingMaleMiddle AgedRadiographyRetrospective StudiesSpondylolisthesisDegenerationDiscectomyLow back painMagnetic resonance imagingModic change(s)Spine

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.