Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31049577›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of nutrition2019

Global Improvement in Dietary Quality Could Lead to Substantial Reduction in Premature Death.

Dong D Wang, Yanping Li, Ashkan Afshin, Marco Springmann, Dariush Mozaffarian, Meir J Stampfer, Frank B Hu, Christopher J L Murray, Walter C Willett

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of nutrition, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 82 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
82citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
18.0field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

82 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 158 citations in OpenAlex.

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  20. Measuring and Forecasting the Healthy Eating Index in Iran: 1991-2027.International journal of preventive medicine · 2025
    Article

22 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 5 institutions in 2 countries.

Dong D WangDepartment of Nutrition, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA.
Yanping LiDepartment of Nutrition, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA.
Ashkan AfshinInstitute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA.
Marco SpringmannOxford Martin Program on the Future of Food and Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, UK.
Dariush MozaffarianFriedman School of Nutrition Science and Policy, Tufts University, Boston, MA.
Meir J StampferDepartment of Nutrition, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA.
Frank B HuDepartment of Nutrition, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA.
Christopher J L MurrayInstitute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA.
Walter C WillettDepartment of Nutrition, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA.
Brigham and Women's Hospital · USHarvard University · USUniversity of Washington · USTufts University · USUniversity of Oxford · GB

Funding

Dietary Etiology of Heart DiseaseR01HL035464 · NHLBI · HARVARD UNIVERSITY (SCH OF PUBLIC HLTH) · PI ERIC B RIMM, Qi Sun · 1986 to 2026
$13.6M
Risk Factors for Ischemic Stroke in WomenR01HL088521 · NHLBI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI REXRODE, KATHRYN M · 2008 to 2025
$9.9M
Economic Analyses of Policy Strategies to Improve Diet and Reduce CVDR01HL130735 · NHLBI · TUFTS UNIVERSITY BOSTON · PI MICHA, EIRINI (RENATA) · 2016 to 2019
$3.1M
Mediterranean Diet, Polyphenol-Rich Foods, Gut Microbiota and Type 2 DiabetesK99DK119412 · NIDDK · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI WANG, DONG · 2018 to 2019
$181k
NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL035464NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL088521NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL130735NIDDK NIH HHS K99 DK119412Wellcome Trust 205212/Z/16/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe preventable premature mortality achievable by improvement in dietary quality at a global level is unclear.

objectiveThe aim of this study was to assess dietary quality globally, and to quantify the potential global impact of improving dietary quality on population health.

methodsWe applied the Alternate Healthy Eating Index (AHEI, potential range 0-100) to a global dietary database to assess dietary quality among adults in 190 countries/territories. The relation of AHEI score to risks of major chronic disease was estimated from 2 large cohorts of men and women for whom many repeated dietary assessments during up to 30 years were available. We calculated the preventable premature deaths achievable by shifting from current national diets to a reference healthy diet.

resultsThe global mean AHEI score in 2017 was 49.5 for males and 50.5 for females. Large differences between current and target intakes existed for whole grains, sodium, long-chain n-3 polyunsaturated fats, polyunsaturated fats, and fruits. From 1990 to 2017, the global mean AHEI score increased modestly from 45.4 to 50.0. Diet quality varied substantially across the world. Coastal Mediterranean nations, the Caribbean region, and Eastern Asia (except China and Mongolia) had a higher AHEI score, whereas Central Asia, the South Pacific, and Eastern and Northern Europe had a lower score. An improvement in dietary quality from the current global diet to the reference healthy diet could prevent >11 million premature deaths, ∼24% of total deaths in 2017. These included 1.6 million cancer deaths, 3.9 million coronary artery disease deaths, 1.0 million stroke deaths, 1.7 million respiratory disease deaths, 0.4 million neurodegenerative disease deaths, 0.5 million kidney disease deaths, 0.6 million diabetes deaths, and 1.2 million digestive disease deaths.

conclusionsGlobal dietary quality is slowly improving, but remains far from optimal and varies across countries. Improvements in dietary quality have the potential to reduce mortality rates substantially.

Indexed as

DietDiet, HealthyMortality, PrematureAdultAgedAged, 80 and overCohort StudiesFemaleGlobal HealthHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedNutritional Physiological PhenomenaRisk Factorschronic diseasedietglobal healthmortalitynutrition

Identifiers

PMID31049577
PMCPMC6543201
OpenAlexW2943751639

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.