Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31039836›Full record

Observational studyEuro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin2019

Spatiotemporal distribution and determinants of measles incidence during a large outbreak, Italy, September 2016 to July 2018.

Xanthi D Andrianou, Martina Del Manso, Antonino Bella, Maria Fenicia Vescio, Melissa Baggieri, Maria Cristina Rota, Patrizio Pezzotti, Antonietta Filia

Open access · diamondAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
2.2field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 23 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Socioeconomic deprivation is inversely associated with measles incidence: a longitudinal small-area analysis, Germany, 2001 to 2017.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2021
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Xanthi D AndrianouEuropean Programme for Intervention Epidemiology Training (EPIET), European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC), Stockholm, Sweden.
Martina Del MansoDepartment of Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Health (Istituto Superiore di Sanità), Rome, Italy.
Antonino BellaDepartment of Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Health (Istituto Superiore di Sanità), Rome, Italy.
Maria Fenicia VescioDepartment of Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Health (Istituto Superiore di Sanità), Rome, Italy.
Melissa BaggieriDepartment of Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Health (Istituto Superiore di Sanità), Rome, Italy.
Maria Cristina RotaDepartment of Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Health (Istituto Superiore di Sanità), Rome, Italy.
Patrizio PezzottiDepartment of Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Health (Istituto Superiore di Sanità), Rome, Italy.
Antonietta FiliaDepartment of Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Health (Istituto Superiore di Sanità), Rome, Italy.
Istituto Superiore di Sanità · ITEuropean Centre for Disease Prevention and Control · SE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BackgroundMeasles is still endemic in Italy and outbreaks are frequent. From 2016 to 2018, more than 7,000 measles cases were reported to the national integrated measles and rubella surveillance system, the largest outbreak since implementation of this system.AimWe aimed to describe the characteristics and spatiotemporal distribution of measles cases in Italy and explore determinants of incidence at municipality level.MethodsWe performed a retrospective observational study, mapping by municipalityall measles cases reported to the national surveillance system with symptom onset between 1 September 2016 and 31 July 2018. We also analysed measles-mumps-rubella (MMR) vaccination coverage (VC) data (2000-2017) for the first and second dose, collected from the Ministry of Health. We used regression analysis to explore factors associated with measles incidence at municipality level.ResultsWe analysed 7,854 cases, 3,927 (50%) female. Median age was 26 years; 475 cases (6%) were younger than 1 year. The outbreak occurred in two epidemic waves. The first started in central/northern regions (end of 2016), the second (mostly within 2018) was concentrated in southern regions. In 2016 and 2017, national VC was below 95% for both MMR doses. In 2017, only one region reported VC above 95% for the first dose. At municipality level, incidence was associated with higher urbanisation, less deprivation and fewer adults.ConclusionThe spread of measles between September 2016 and July 2018 in Italy indicates the need to improve VC and to explore further how societal and other parameters might be linked to incidence.

Indexed as

Disease OutbreaksAdolescentAdultChildChild, PreschoolFemaleHumansIncidenceInfantItalyMaleMeaslesMeasles-Mumps-Rubella VaccineMeasles virusMumpsRetrospective StudiesMeasles-Mumps-Rubella VaccineItalymeaslesoutbreaksurveillancevaccination coverage

Identifiers

PMID31039836
PMCPMC6628759
OpenAlexW2941704439

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.