Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31039803›Full record

ArticleWorld journal of surgical oncology2019

Validation of the Toronto hepatocellular carcinoma risk index for patients with cirrhosis in China: a retrospective cohort study.

Huixian Zhang, Jinzhou Zhu, Liting Xi, Chunfang Xu, Airong Wu

Open access · goldAbstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in World journal of surgical oncology, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.7field-weighted citation impact, top 16% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 21 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. [Guideline for stratified screening and surveillance of primary liver cancer(2020 Edition)].Zhonghua gan zang bing za zhi = Zhonghua ganzangbing zazhi = Chinese journal of hepatology · 2021
    Guideline
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Review
  5. Article
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  8. Risk stratification of primary liver cancer.World journal of clinical cases · 2022
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. [Expert consensus on early screening strategies for liver cancer in China].Zhonghua gan zang bing za zhi = Zhonghua ganzangbing zazhi = Chinese journal of hepatology · 2021
    Article
  14. Review
  15. [Advances in the study of cirrhosis and precancerous lesions of liver cancer].Zhonghua gan zang bing za zhi = Zhonghua ganzangbing zazhi = Chinese journal of hepatology · 2019
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Huixian ZhangDepartment of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, 188 Shizi Street, Suzhou, 215000, Jiangsu, China.
Jinzhou ZhuDepartment of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, 188 Shizi Street, Suzhou, 215000, Jiangsu, China.
Liting XiDepartment of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, 188 Shizi Street, Suzhou, 215000, Jiangsu, China.
Chunfang XuDepartment of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, 188 Shizi Street, Suzhou, 215000, Jiangsu, China.
Airong WuDepartment of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, 188 Shizi Street, Suzhou, 215000, Jiangsu, China. arwu@suda.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3576-3879
Soochow University · CN

Funding

Jiangsu Provincial Key Research and Development Plan BE2018659
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe Toronto hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk index (THRI) was developed to predict HCC in patients with cirrhosis. This study aimed to validate the THRI in a 10-year Asian cohort.

methodsA total of 2836 patients with cirrhosis at the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University between January 2008 and May 2018 were evaluated. Based on the THRI value at diagnosis, patients were divided into three groups (< 120, low-risk; 120-240, intermediate-risk; > 240, high-risk). Student's t test and Fisher's exact test were applied to compare parameters between the HCC group and the non-HCC group. The receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve was drafted to identify the value of the THRI in predicting HCC. Logistic regression was utilized to assess the relationship between the development of HCC and THRI values. The incidence of HCC was calculated for the three groups using the Kaplan-Meier method, and curves were compared using the log-rank test.

resultsOf 520 patients enrolled in this study, 76 patients developed HCC. Patients who developed HCC had a higher THRI score than those who did not develop HCC (279.5 ± 57.1 vs. 232.3 ± 67.6, respectively, p < 0.001). The area under the ROC curve for the THRI to predict HCC was 0.707 ([95% CI 0.645-0.769], p < 0.001), with a sensitivity of 0.842 and a specificity of 0.486 when the cutoff THRI value was 226. Compared to the low-risk group, the high-risk group presented higher odds of developing HCC (adjusting odds ratio 1.026 [95% CI 1.002-1.051], p = 0.036). Differences existed in the cumulative incidence of HCC among the three risk groups (log-rank, p < 0.001). The 5-year cumulative HCC incidence of the low-risk group, intermediate-risk group, and high-risk group was 0%, 13%, and 34%, respectively.

conclusionThis study validated THRI values for predicting HCC in Asians with cirrhosis, which presented a fine sensitivity to identify the high-risk population of HCC for secondary prevention.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAged, 80 and overArea Under CurveCarcinoma, HepatocellularChinaFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansIncidenceLiver CirrhosisLiver Function TestsLiver NeoplasmsMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisCirrhosisHepatocellular carcinoma (HCC)Toronto hepatocellular carcinoma risk index (THRI)Validation

Identifiers

PMID31039803
PMCPMC6492382
OpenAlexW2947483178

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.