Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31032937›Full record

SynthesisJournal of child psychology and psychiatry, and allied disciplines2020

Research Review: Outcomes of 24- to 36-month-old children with autism spectrum disorder vary by ascertainment strategy: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Megan Micheletti, Courtney McCracken, John N Constantino, David Mandell, Warren Jones, Ami Klin

Abstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Journal of child psychology and psychiatry, and allied disciplines, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Heterogeneity of autism symptoms in community-referred infants and toddlers at elevated or low familial likelihood of autism.Autism research : official journal of the International Society for Autism Research · 2023
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Towards a Data-Driven Approach to Screen for Autism Risk at 12 Months of Age.Journal of the American Academy of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry · 2021
    Article
  10. Observational
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Affording autism an early brain development re-definition.Development and psychopathology · 2020
    Review
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Megan MichelettiMarcus Autism Center, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Courtney McCrackenChildren's Healthcare of Atlanta, Atlanta, GA, USA.
John N ConstantinoDepartments of Psychiatry and Pediatrics, Intellectual and Developmental Disabilities Research Center, Washington University School of Medicine, St Louis, MO, USA.
David MandellCenter for Mental Health Policy and Services Research, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
Warren JonesMarcus Autism Center, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Ami KlinMarcus Autism Center, Atlanta, GA, USA.

Funding

The ontogeny of social vocal engagement and its derailment in autismP50MH100029 · NIMH · EMORY UNIVERSITY · PI RAMSAY, GORDON JAMES · 2012 to 2021
$20.1M
NIMH NIH HHS P50 MH100029
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundDespite widespread recommendations for early surveillance of risk for autism spectrum disorder (ASD), no research to date has shown that early surveillance leads to better clinical outcomes. Preliminary research has suggested that children with ASD ascertained via prospective follow-up have better outcomes than those ascertained via community referral. Because prospective studies include early surveillance, by comparing outcomes of children with ASD across ascertainment strategies, we may gain insight into the effects of early surveillance relative to its absence.

methodsA systematic review was conducted to identify studies reporting outcomes of 24- to 36-month-olds with ASD ascertained via prospective follow-up, community referral, or universal screening. A meta-analysis using a random effects model was used to calculate overall effect size estimates for developmental level and symptom severity across ascertainment cohorts.

resultsEleven prospective, ten community referral, and eight universal screening studies were identified, reporting on 1,658 toddlers with ASD. We found no differences in outcomes between community referral and universal screening studies. Relative to both, prospective studies reported significantly higher developmental levels and lower symptom severities.

conclusionsOutcomes of young children with ASD ascertained via prospective follow-up are better than those of children with ASD recruited via community referral or universal screening. Although we discuss why sampling bias is not likely the driving force behind these findings, we cannot rule out the possibility that sampling bias contributes to the observed differences; future studies should probe the effects of sociodemographic variables on clinical outcomes as a function of ascertainment strategy. This limitation notwithstanding, our results raise the possibility that prospective follow-up may confer a 'surveillance effect' that contributes to improved developmental and diagnostic outcomes in children with ASD. Future research should test this hypothesis and determine the specific mechanism by which surveillance may improve outcomes.

Indexed as

Outcome and Process Assessment, Health CareAutism Spectrum DisorderChild, PreschoolHumansInfantAutism spectrum disordermeta-analysisoutcomessampling biassurveillancesystematic reviewtoddlers

Identifiers

PMID31032937
PMCPMC6819204

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.