Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31032713›Full record

ArticleThe Libyan journal of medicine2019

A gap analysis of SDG 3 and MDG 4/5mortality health targets in the six Arabic countries of North Africa: Egypt, Libya, Tunisia, Algeria, Morocco, and Mauritania.

Vesna Bjegovic-Mikanovic, Zeyad Ali Salem Abousbie, Juergen Breckenkamp, Helmut Wenzel, Raphael Broniatowski, Chase Nelson, Dejana Vukovic, Ulrich Laaser

Abstract readComparative Study
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in The Libyan journal of medicine, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Sex, Gender, and Suicidal Behavior.Current topics in behavioral neurosciences · 2020
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Vesna Bjegovic-Mikanovica Institute of Social Medicine, Faculty of Medicine , University of Belgrade , Belgrade , Serbia.
Zeyad Ali Salem Abousbieb School of Public Health and Management, Faculty of Medicine , University of Belgrade , Belgrade , Serbia.
Juergen Breckenkampc Bielefeld School of Public Health , Bielefeld University , Bielefeld , Germany.
Helmut Wenzeld Consultant , Konstanz , Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8464-7746
Raphael Broniatowskie EPOS Consulting , Bad Homburg , Germany.
Chase Nelsone EPOS Consulting , Bad Homburg , Germany.
Dejana Vukovica Institute of Social Medicine, Faculty of Medicine , University of Belgrade , Belgrade , Serbia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3323-3711
Ulrich Laaserc Bielefeld School of Public Health , Bielefeld University , Bielefeld , Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5889-4471

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe United Nations Assembly adopted the Sustainable Development Goals to succeed the Millennium Development Goals in September 2015. From a European perspective, the development of health in the countries of North Africa are of special interest as a critical factor of overall social development in Europe's Mediterranean partners. In this paper, we address the mortality related SDG-3 targets, the likelihood to achieve them until 2030 and analyze how they are defined.

methodsWe projected mortality trends from 2000-2015 to 2030, based on mortality estimates by inter-agency groups and the WHO in mother and child health, non-communicable diseases, and road traffic mortality. The gap analysis compares the time remaining until 2030 to the time needed to complete the target assuming a linear trend of the respective indicator. A delay of not more than 3.75 years is considered likely to achieve the target.

resultsThe SDG-3 targets of a Maternal Mortality Ratio below 70 per 100 000 live births and an U5MR below 25 per 1 000 live births have been achieved by Egypt, Libya, and Tunisia. Libya and Tunisia have also achieved the target for Newborn Mortality with Egypt close to achieving it as well. Algeria and Morocco are generally on track for most of the indicators, including deaths from non-communicable diseases and suicide rates; however, all of the countries are lagging when it comes to deadly Road Traffic Injuries for 2030. Mauritania is the only North African country which is not likely to reach the 2030 targets for any of the mortality indicators.

conclusionsAlthough mortality statistics may be incomplete there is an impressive gradient from East to West showing Mauritania and deadly road traffic injuries as the most problematic areas. Given the large differences between countries baselines, we consider it preferable to set realistic targets to be achieved until 2030.

Indexed as

Accidents, TrafficAfrica, NorthernAlgeriaChild HealthEgyptFemaleHealthHumansLibyaMauritaniaMoroccoMortalityMothersNoncommunicable DiseasesOrganizational ObjectivesSustainable Developmentdeadly traffic injuriesgap analysishealth development targetsMaternal and Child Healthnon-communicable diseasesNorth AfricaSustainable Development Goals

Identifiers

PMID31032713
PMCPMC6493284

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.