Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31032438›Full record

ArticleJournal of spine surgery (Hong Kong)2019

Development and validation of risk-adjustment models for elective, single-level posterior lumbar spinal fusions.

David N Bernstein, Aakash Keswani, Debbie Chi, James E Dowdell, Samuel C Overley, Saad B Chaudhary, Addisu Mesfin

Open access · diamondAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of spine surgery (Hong Kong), 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
0.5field-weighted citation impact, top 37% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 4 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Prediction of outcome after spinal surgery-using The Dialogue Support based on the Swedish national quality register.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2022
    Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

David N BernsteinDepartment of Orthopaedics and Rehabilitation, University of Rochester Medical Center, Rochester, NY, USA.
Aakash KeswaniDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Mount Sinai Hospital, New York, NY, USA.
Debbie ChiDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Mount Sinai Hospital, New York, NY, USA.
James E DowdellDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Mount Sinai Hospital, New York, NY, USA.
Samuel C OverleyDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Mount Sinai Hospital, New York, NY, USA.
Saad B ChaudharyDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Mount Sinai Hospital, New York, NY, USA.
Addisu MesfinDepartment of Orthopaedics and Rehabilitation, University of Rochester Medical Center, Rochester, NY, USA.
Mount Sinai Hospital · USUniversity of Rochester Medical Center · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThere is a paucity of literature examining the development and subsequent validation of risk-adjustment models that inform the trade-off between adequate risk-adjustment and data collection burden. We aimed to evaluate patient risk stratification by surgeons with the development and validation of risk-adjustment models for elective, single-level, posterior lumbar spinal fusions (PLSFs).

methodsPatients undergoing PLSF from 2011-2014 were identified in the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS NSQIP). The derivation cohort included patients from 2011-2013, while the validation cohort included patients from 2014. Outcomes of interest were severe adverse events (SAEs) and unplanned readmission. Bivariate analysis of risk factors followed by a stepwise logistic regression model was used. Limited risk-adjustment models were created and analyzed by sequentially adding variables until the full model was reached.

resultsA total of 7,192 and 4,182 patients were included in our derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. Full model performance was similar for the derivation and validation cohorts in both 30-day SAEs (C-statistic =0.66

conclusionsRisk-adjustment models for PLSF demonstrated acceptable calibration and discrimination using variables commonly found in health records and demonstrated only a limited set of variables were required to achieve an appropriate level of risk prediction.

Indexed as

adverse eventsbig datanational databasePosterior lumbar spinal fusion (PLSF)readmissionrisk stratification

Identifiers

PMID31032438
PMCPMC6465455
OpenAlexW2909706693

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.