ArticleEarth's future2018
Reframing Future Risks of Extreme Heat in the United States.
Article in Earth's future, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
8 citing papers in PubMed.
- Machine learning to predict genotypes and genotype-environment interaction associated with complex traits for genomic selection.Plant phenomics (Washington, D.C.) · 2026Article
- Sometimes missing the heat: the risk of underestimating extreme heat days with daily maximum heat index approximation.International journal of biometeorology · 2025Article
- City-level vulnerability to temperature-related mortality in the USA and future projections: a geographically clustered meta-regression.The Lancet. Planetary health · 2021Article
- A temperature binning approach for multi-sector climate impact analysis.Climatic change · 2021Article
- The motley drivers of heat and cold exposure in 21st century US cities.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2020Article
- Development of Future Heatwaves for Different Hazard Thresholds.Journal of geophysical research. Atmospheres : JGR · 2020Article
- A Framework for Climate Change-Related Research to Inform Environmental Protection.Environmental management · 2019Article
- Reframing Future Risks of Extreme Heat in the United States.Earth's future · 2018Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
8 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
The goal of this study is to reframe the analysis and discussion of extreme heat projections to improve communication of future extreme heat risks in the United States. We combine existing data from 31 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 models to examine future exposure to extreme heat for global average temperatures of 1.5, 2, 3, and 4 °C above a preindustrial baseline. We find that throughout the United States, historically rare extreme heat events become increasingly common in the future as global temperatures rise and that the depiction of exposure depends in large part on whether extreme heat is defined by absolute or relative metrics. For example, for a 4 °C global temperature rise, parts of the country may never see summertime temperatures in excess of 100 °F, but virtually all of the country is projected to experience more than 4 weeks per summer with temperatures exceeding their historical summertime maximum. All of the extreme temperature metrics we explored become more severe with increasing global average temperatures. However, a moderate climate scenario delays the impacts projected for a 3 °C world by almost a generation relative to the higher scenario and prevents the most extreme impacts projected for a 4 °C world.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.