Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31028702›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of infectious diseases2020

Human Immunodeficiency Virus Type 1 Phylodynamics to Detect and Characterize Active Transmission Clusters in North Carolina.

Ann M Dennis, Stéphane Hué, Rachael Billock, Sara Levintow, Joseph Sebastian, William C Miller, Joseph J Eron

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of infectious diseases, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed.

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  12. The Relationship Between the Human Immunodeficiency Virus-1 Transmission Network and the HIV Care Continuum in Los Angeles County.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2020
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Ann M DennisDivision of Infectious Diseases, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.
Stéphane HuéLondon School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom.
Rachael BillockDepartment of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.
Sara LevintowDepartment of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.
Joseph SebastianCampbell University School of Osteopathic Medicine, South Lillington, North Carolina.
William C MillerDepartment of Epidemiology, Ohio State University, Columbus.
Joseph J EronDivision of Infectious Diseases, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.

Funding

Virology, Immunology, and Microbiology CoreP30AI050410 · NIAID · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI DAVID M. MARGOLIS · 2001 to 2026
$76.9M
Training in Infectious Disease Epidemiology (TIDE)T32AI070114 · NIAID · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI Brian W Pence · 2007 to 2026
$4.0M
Timely monitoring and response to HIV transmission networks for intensified preventionR01AI135970 · NIAID · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI DENNIS, ANN · 2018 to 2022
$3.8M
Using Phylogenetics to Elucidate HIV Transmission Patterns and Inform PreventionK08AI112432 · NIAID · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI DENNIS, ANN · 2014 to 2017
$697k
NIAID NIH HHS K08 AI112432NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI050410NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI135970NIAID NIH HHS T32 AI070114
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHuman immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) phylodynamics can be used to monitor epidemic trends and help target prevention through identification and characterization of transmission clusters.

methodsWe analyzed HIV-1 pol sequences sampled in North Carolina from 1997 to 2014. Putative clusters were identified using maximum-likelihood trees and dated using Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo inference. Active clusters were defined as clusters including internal nodes from 2009 to 2014. Effective reproductive numbers (Re) were estimated using birth-death models for large clusters that expanded ≥2-fold from 2009 to 2014.

resultsOf 14 921 persons, 7508 (50%) sequences were identified in 2264 clusters. Only 288 (13%) clusters were active from 2009 to 2014; 37 were large (10-36 members). Compared to smaller clusters, large clusters were increasingly populated by men and younger persons; however, nearly 60% included ≥1 women. Clusters with ≥3 members demonstrated assortative mixing by sex, age, and sample region. Of 15 large clusters with ≥2-fold expansion, nearly all had Re approximately 1 by 2014.

conclusionsPhylodynamics revealed transmission cluster expansion in this densely sampled region and allowed estimates of Re to monitor active clusters, showing the propensity for steady, onward propagation. Associations with clustering and cluster characteristics vary by cluster size. Harnessing sequence-derived epidemiologic parameters within routine surveillance could allow refined monitoring of local subepidemics.

Indexed as

AdultCluster AnalysisEpidemicsFemaleGenotypeHIV-1HIV InfectionsHomosexuality, MaleHumansMaleMarkov ChainsMolecular EpidemiologyNorth CarolinaPhylogenypol Gene Products, Human Immunodeficiency VirusSequence Analysis, DNApol Gene Products, Human Immunodeficiency VirusHIV-1molecular epidemiologyphylogenysoutheastern United Statestransmission

Identifiers

PMID31028702
PMCPMC7325798

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.