Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31020334›Full record

Trial reportAnnals of oncology : official journal of the European Society for Medical Oncology2019

Prognostic value of circulating tumour cells in limited-stage small-cell lung cancer: analysis of the concurrent once-daily versus twice-daily radiotherapy (CONVERT) randomised controlled trial.

R Y Tay, F Fernández-Gutiérrez, V Foy, K Burns, J Pierce, K Morris, L Priest, J Tugwood, L Ashcroft, C R Lindsay and 3 more

Registry-linked trialOpen access · hybridAbstract readClinical Trial, Phase IIIMulticenter StudyRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Annals of oncology : official journal of the European Society for Medical Oncology, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT00433563 (A 2-Arm Randomized Controlled Trial of Concurrent Chemo-Radiotherapy Comparing Twice-Daily and Once-Daily Radiotherapy Schedules in Patients With Limited Stage Small Cell Lung Cancer), which is not on this map. Cited by 48 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
48citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
4.0field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT00433563 nacompletednot on this map

A 2-Arm Randomized Controlled Trial of Concurrent Chemo-Radiotherapy Comparing Twice-Daily and Once-Daily Radiotherapy Schedules in Patients With Limited Stage Small Cell Lung Cancer (SCLC) and Good Performance Status [CONVERT]

TypeinterventionalSponsorThe Christie NHS Foundation TrustRan2008 to 2019Enrolled547ConditionsLung CancerArmsOnce daily radiotherapy, Twice daily radiotherapy
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

48 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 71 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Circulating tumour cells in patients with lung cancer universally indicate poor prognosis.European respiratory review : an official journal of the European Respiratory Society · 2022
    Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Evaluating the prognostic impact of multipleEuropean journal of nuclear medicine and molecular imaging · 2026
    Trial
  4. Trial
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Circulating Tumor Cells for the Monitoring of Lung Cancer Therapies.International journal of molecular sciences · 2025
    Review
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Review
  12. Review
  13. Liquid biopsies in cancer.Molecular biomedicine · 2025
    Review
  14. State of the art in treatment of small cell lung cancer.Therapeutic advances in medical oncology · 2025
    Review
  15. Article
  16. Review
  17. Review
  18. Review
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

R Y TayDepartment of Medical Oncology, The Christie NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester.
F Fernández-GutiérrezClinical and Experimental Pharmacology Group, CRUK Manchester Institute.
V FoyClinical and Experimental Pharmacology Group, CRUK Manchester Institute.
K BurnsDivision of Molecular and Clinical Cancer Sciences, School of Medical Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health.
J PierceClinical and Experimental Pharmacology Group, CRUK Manchester Institute.
K MorrisClinical and Experimental Pharmacology Group, CRUK Manchester Institute.
L PriestClinical and Experimental Pharmacology Group, CRUK Manchester Institute.
J TugwoodCancer Research UK Manchester Institute; Manchester Centre for Cancer Biomarker Sciences, University of Manchester, Manchester.
L AshcroftManchester Academic Health Science Centre Trials Co-ordination Unit.
C R LindsayDepartment of Medical Oncology, The Christie NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester; Division of Molecular and Clinical Cancer Sciences, School of Medical Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health.
C Faivre-FinnDivision of Molecular and Clinical Cancer Sciences, School of Medical Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health; Department of Radiotherapy Related Research, The Christie NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK.
C DiveCancer Research UK Manchester Institute; Manchester Centre for Cancer Biomarker Sciences, University of Manchester, Manchester.
F BlackhallDepartment of Medical Oncology, The Christie NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester; Division of Molecular and Clinical Cancer Sciences, School of Medical Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health. Electronic address: fiona.blackhall@christie.nhs.uk.
Cancer Research UK Manchester Institute · GBThe Christie NHS Foundation Trust · GBManchester Academic Health Science Centre · GBUniversity of Manchester · GB

Funding

Cancer Research UK 19278Cancer Research UK 20465Cancer Research UK 29420Cancer Research UK 29569Cancer Research UK 8154Cancer Research UK C17052/A8154
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe clinical significance of circulating tumour cells (CTCs) in limited-stage small-cell lung cancer (LS-SCLC) is not well defined. We report a planned exploratory analysis of the prevalence and prognostic value of CTCs in LS-SCLC patients enrolled within the phase III randomised CONVERT (concurrent once-daily versus twice-daily chemoradiotherapy) trial. PATIENTS AND

methodsBaseline blood samples were enumerated for CTCs using CellSearch in 75 patients with LS-SCLC who were enrolled in the CONVERT trial and randomised between twice- and once-daily concurrent chemoradiation. Standard statistical methods were used for correlations of CTCs with clinical factors. Log-rank test and Cox regression analyses were applied to establish the associations of 2, 15 and 50 CTC thresholds with progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). An optimal CTC count threshold for LS-SCLC was established.

resultsCTCs were detected in 60% (45/75) of patients (range 0-3750). CTC count thresholds of 2, 15 and 50 CTCs all significantly correlate with PFS and OS. An optimal CTC count threshold in LS-SCLC was established at 15 CTCs, defining 'favourable' and 'unfavourable' prognostic risk groups. The median OS in <15 versus ≥15 CTCs was 26.7 versus 5.9 m (P = 0.001). The presence of ≥15 CTCs at baseline independently predicted ≤1 year survival in 70% and ≤2 years survival in 100% of patients.

conclusionWe report the prognostic value of baseline CTC count in an exclusive LS-SCLC population at thresholds of 2, 15 and 50 CTCs. Specific to LS-SCLC, ≥15 CTCs was associated with worse PFS and OS independent of all other factors and predicted ≤2 years survival. These results may improve disease stratification in future clinical trial designs and aid clinical decision making.

trial registrationClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT00433563.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAged, 80 and overAntineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy ProtocolsChemoradiotherapyDisease ProgressionDose Fractionation, RadiationFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansLung NeoplasmsMaleMiddle AgedNeoplasm StagingNeoplastic Cells, CirculatingSmall Cell Lung Carcinomachemoradiotherapycirculating tumour cellslimited diseaselimited stageprognosissmall-cell lung cancer

Identifiers

PMID31020334
PMCPMC6637373
OpenAlexW2941467697

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.