Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31016227›Full record

ArticleSurgery research and practice2019

Comparing the Predictive Power of Preoperative Risk Assessment Tools to Best Predict Major Adverse Cardiac Events in Kidney Transplant Patients.

Colin P Dunn, Emmanuel U Emeasoba, Ari J Holtzman, Michael Hung, Joshua Kaminetsky, Omar Alani, Stuart M Greenstein

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Surgery research and practice, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
0.8field-weighted citation impact, top 25% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 6 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Colin P DunnDepartment of Surgery, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, 10461 Bronx, NY, USA.
Emmanuel U EmeasobaThe Montefiore Einstein Center for Transplantation, Montefiore Medical Center, Bronx, 111 East 210 Street, 10467 NY, USA.
Ari J HoltzmanDepartment of Surgery, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, 10461 Bronx, NY, USA.
Michael HungDepartment of Surgery, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, 10461 Bronx, NY, USA.
Joshua KaminetskyDepartment of Surgery, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, 10461 Bronx, NY, USA.
Omar AlaniDepartment of Surgery, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, 10461 Bronx, NY, USA.
Stuart M GreensteinThe Montefiore Einstein Center for Transplantation, Montefiore Medical Center, Bronx, 111 East 210 Street, 10467 NY, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5247-9605
Albert Einstein College of Medicine · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPatients undergoing kidney transplantation have increased risk of adverse cardiovascular events due to histories of hypertension, end-stage renal disease, and dialysis. As such, they are especially in need of accurate preoperative risk assessment.

methodsWe compared three different risk assessment models for their ability to predict major adverse cardiac events at 30 days and 1 year after transplant. These were the PORT model, the RCRI model, and the Gupta model. We used a method based on generalized U-statistics to determine statistically significant improvements in the area under the receiver operator curve (AUC), based on a common major adverse cardiac event (MACE) definition. For the top-performing model, we added new covariates into multivariable logistic regression in an attempt to create further improvement in the AUC.

resultsThe AUCs for MACE at 30 days and 1 year were 0.645 and 0.650 (PORT), 0.633 and 0.661 (RCRI), and finally 0.489 and 0.557 (Gupta), respectively. The PORT model performed significantly better than the Gupta model at 1 year (

conclusionsOf the three calculators, PORT performed best when the sensitivity was set at a clinically relevant level. This is likely due to the unique variables the PORT model uses, which are specific to transplant patients.

Identifiers

PMID31016227
PMCPMC6446090
OpenAlexW2923663504

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.