Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31015468›Full record

ArticleNature communications2019

Palaeodemographic modelling supports a population bottleneck during the Pleistocene-Holocene transition in Iberia.

Javier Fernández-López de Pablo, Mario Gutiérrez-Roig, Madalena Gómez-Puche, Rowan McLaughlin, Fabio Silva, Sergi Lozano

Abstract readHistorical Article
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  10. Reconstructing social networks of Late Glacial and Holocene hunter-gatherers to understand cultural evolution.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2022
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Late Glacial and Early Holocene human demographic responses to climatic and environmental change in Atlantic Iberia.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2021
    Article
  14. A manifesto for palaeodemography in the twenty-first century.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2021
    Article
  15. Directly modelling population dynamics in the South American Arid Diagonal usingPhilosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2021
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Javier Fernández-López de PabloInstitut Català de Paleoecología Humana i Evolució Social (IPHES), Edificio W3, Campus Sescelades URV, Zona Educacional 4, 43007, Tarragona, Spain. jfernandez@iphes.cat.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6953-7004
Mario Gutiérrez-RoigBehavioural Science Group, Warwick Business School, University of Warwick, Scarman Rd, Coventry, CV4 7AL, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8488-1954
Madalena Gómez-PucheInstitut Català de Paleoecología Humana i Evolució Social (IPHES), Edificio W3, Campus Sescelades URV, Zona Educacional 4, 43007, Tarragona, Spain.
Rowan McLaughlinInstitut Català de Paleoecología Humana i Evolució Social (IPHES), Edificio W3, Campus Sescelades URV, Zona Educacional 4, 43007, Tarragona, Spain.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4923-1339
Fabio SilvaDepartment of Archaeology, Anthropology & Forensic Science, Faculty of Science & Technology, Bournemouth University, Fern Barrow, Poole, Dorset, BH12 5BB, UK.
Sergi LozanoInstitut Català de Paleoecología Humana i Evolució Social (IPHES), Edificio W3, Campus Sescelades URV, Zona Educacional 4, 43007, Tarragona, Spain.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1895-9327

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Demographic change lies at the core of debates on genetic inheritance and resilience to climate change of prehistoric hunter-gatherers. Here we analyze the radiocarbon record of Iberia to reconstruct long-term changes in population levels and test different models of demographic growth during the Last Glacial-Interglacial transition. Our best fitting demographic model is composed of three phases. First, we document a regime of exponential population increase during the Late Glacial warming period (c.16.6-12.9 kya). Second, we identify a phase of sustained population contraction and stagnation, beginning with the cold episode of the Younger Dryas and continuing through the first half of the Early Holocene (12.9-10.2 kya). Finally, we report a third phase of density-dependent logistic growth (10.2-8 kya), with rapid population increase followed by stabilization. Our results support a population bottleneck hypothesis during the Last Glacial-Interglacial transition, providing a demographic context to interpret major shifts of prehistoric genetic groups in south-west Europe.

Indexed as

Models, TheoreticalArchaeologyClimate ChangeEuropeHistory, AncientHuman MigrationHumansPaleontologyRadiometric Dating

Identifiers

PMID31015468
PMCPMC6478856

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.