Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31015199›Full record

ArticleCancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology2019

Comparison of Questionnaire-Based Breast Cancer Prediction Models in the Nurses' Health Study.

Robert J Glynn, Graham A Colditz, Rulla M Tamimi, Wendy Y Chen, Susan E Hankinson, Walter W Willett, Bernard Rosner

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  6. Article
  7. A Validated Risk Prediction Model for Breast Cancer in US Black Women.Journal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology · 2021
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Simplified Breast Risk Tool Integrating Questionnaire Risk Factors, Mammographic Density, and Polygenic Risk Score: Development and Validation.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2021
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Robert J GlynnChanning Division of Network Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts. rglynn@rics.bwh.harvard.edu.
Graham A ColditzAlvin J. Siteman Cancer Center and Department of Surgery, Division of Public Health Sciences, School of Medicine, Washington University of St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri.ORCID 0000-0002-7307-0291
Rulla M TamimiChanning Division of Network Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.
Wendy Y ChenChanning Division of Network Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.
Susan E HankinsonChanning Division of Network Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.
Walter W WillettChanning Division of Network Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.
Bernard RosnerChanning Division of Network Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.

Funding

Statistical MethodsP01CA087969 · NCI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI TWOROGER, SHELLEY S · 2000 to 2019
$77.8M
Long Term Multidisciplinary Study of Cancer in Women: The Nurses Health StudyUM1CA186107 · NCI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI ELIASSEN, A. HEATHER, STAMPFER, MEIR · 2014 to 2023
$22.3M
NCI NIH HHS P01 CA087969NCI NIH HHS UM1 CA186107
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe Gail model and the model developed by Tyrer and Cuzick are two questionnaire-based approaches with demonstrated ability to predict development of breast cancer in a general population.

methodsWe compared calibration, discrimination, and net reclassification of these models, using data from questionnaires sent every 2 years to 76,922 participants in the Nurses' Health Study between 1980 and 2006, with 4,384 incident invasive breast cancers identified by 2008 (median follow-up, 24 years; range, 1-28 years). In a random one third sample of women, we also compared the performance of these models with predictions from the Rosner-Colditz model estimated from the remaining participants.

resultsBoth the Gail and Tyrer-Cuzick models showed evidence of miscalibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow

conclusionsBoth the Gail and Tyrer-Cuzick models had some ability to discriminate breast cancer cases and noncases, but have limitations in their model fit. IMPACT: Refinements may be needed to questionnaire-based approaches to predict breast cancer in older and higher-risk women.

Indexed as

AdultBreast NeoplasmsFemaleHumansMiddle AgedModels, StatisticalRisk FactorsSurveys and Questionnaires

Identifiers

PMID31015199
PMCPMC6684099

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.