Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31008632›Full record

ArticleJournal of consulting and clinical psychology2019

Estimating outcome probabilities from early symptom changes in cognitive therapy for recurrent depression.

Jeffrey R Vittengl, Lee Anna Clark, Michael E Thase, Robin B Jarrett

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of consulting and clinical psychology, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
0.9field-weighted citation impact, top 26% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed, 6 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Jeffrey R VittenglDepartment of Psychology, Truman State University.
Lee Anna ClarkDepartment of Psychology, University of Notre Dame.
Michael E ThaseDepartment of Psychiatry, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania.
Robin B JarrettDepartment of Psychiatry, The University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center.
The University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center · USTruman State University · USUniversity of Notre Dame · USUniversity of Pennsylvania · US

Funding

PROPHYLACTIC COGNITIVE THERAPY FOR DEPRESSIONR01MH058397 · NIMH · UT SOUTHWESTERN MEDICAL CENTER · PI JARRETT, ROBIN B · 2000 to 2011
$4.1M
PROPHYLACTIC COGNITIVE THERAPY FOR DEPRESSIONR01MH058356 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI THASE, MICHAEL E · 2000 to 2010
$3.5M
Are Cognitive Therapy's Antidepressant Effects Durable?R01MH069619 · NIMH · UT SOUTHWESTERN MEDICAL CENTER · PI JARRETT, ROBIN B · 2004 to 2009
$1.7M
Are Cognitive Therapy's Antidepressant Effects Durable?R01MH069618 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI FRIEDMAN, EDWARD S. · 2004 to 2008
$1.5M
Cognitive Therapy for High Risk &Refractory DepressionK24MH001571 · NIMH · UT SOUTHWESTERN MEDICAL CENTER · PI JARRETT, ROBIN B · 2005 to 2009
$625k
COGNITIVE THERAPY FOR HIGH RISK &REFRACTORY DEPRESSIONK02MH001571 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS SW MED CTR/DALLAS · PI JARRETT, ROBIN B · 1999 to 2003
$458k
NIMH NIH HHS K02 MH001571NIMH NIH HHS K24 MH001571NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH058356NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH058397NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH069618NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH069619
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveAcute-phase cognitive therapy (CT) is an efficacious treatment for major depressive disorder (MDD) producing benefits comparable to pharmacotherapy, but not all patients respond or remit. The purpose of the current analyses was to estimate CT patients' probability of nonresponse and remission from symptom improvement early in treatment.

methodData from 2 clinical trials of acute-phase CT for recurrent depression were pooled for analysis (N = 679). Adult outpatients received 16- or 20-session CT protocols. Symptoms were measured repeatedly with the clinician-report Hamilton Rating Scale for Depression (HRSD) and Inventory of Depressive Symptomatology-Self-Report (IDS-SR). Outcomes at exit from CT were nonresponse (<50% reduction in HRSD scores) and remission (no MDD and HRSD score ≤6).

resultsThe nonresponse rate was 45.7%, and the remission rate was 33.4%. In logistic regression models, improvements on the HRSD or IDS-SR from intake to CT Sessions 3, 5, 7, 9, or 11 significantly predicted both outcomes, with prediction gaining in accuracy in later sessions. Clinician and self-report assessments yielded similar results. Prediction of outcomes replicated across data sets. Patients with no symptom improvement by CT Session 9 (Week 5) had ≤10% probability of remission and >75% probability of nonresponse.

conclusionsOutcomes of CT for depression are predictable from early symptom changes. Clinicians may find nonresponse and remission probability estimates useful in the informed consent process and in choosing whether to continue, augment, or switch treatments for CT patients with recurrent MDD. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2019 APA, all rights reserved).

Indexed as

AdultChronic DiseaseCognitive Behavioral TherapyFemaleHumansLogistic ModelsMajor Depressive DisorderMaleOutpatientsProbabilityPsychiatric Status Rating ScalesRecurrenceTreatment Outcome

Identifiers

PMID31008632
PMCPMC6853186
OpenAlexW2941561024

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.