ArticleScientific reports2019
Extinction risks of a Mediterranean neo-endemism complex of mountain vipers triggered by climate change.
Article in Scientific reports, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers.
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19 citing papers in PubMed.
- Environmental Adaptation Differences Are Key Factors Determining the Speciation and Future Adaptability of the Five Closely Related Species of the GenusEcology and evolution · 2026Article
- Investigating sand dunes flora conservation based on remote sensing and predictive modeling in the Mediterranean coastal region, Egypt.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Climate change drives habitat specialization and local extirpation, causing niche reduction in an endemic chipmunk.Journal of mammalogy · 2025Article
- Assessing and updating the environmental and conservation status of three endangered endemic plants in light of potential climate change in Saint Catherine Protectorate, Egypt.BMC plant biology · 2025Article
- Predicting the future impact of climate change on the distribution of species in Egypt's mediterranean ecosystems.BMC plant biology · 2025Article
- Habitat suitability modeling to improve conservation strategy of two highly-grazed endemic plant species in saint Catherine Protectorate, Egypt.BMC plant biology · 2025Article
- Contributions to the knowledge of pitvipers (Viperidae,ZooKeys · 2025Article
- Predicting Conservation Status of Testudoformes under Climate Change Using Habitat Models.Animals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2024Article
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- MaxEnt brings comparable results when the input data are being completed; Model parameterization of four species distribution models.Ecology and evolution · 2023Article
- Predicting extinctions with species distribution models.Cambridge prisms. Extinction · 2023Review
- Ecological niche models reveal divergent habitat use of Pallas's cat in the Eurasian cold steppes.Ecology and evolution · 2022Article
- Microclimate-driven trends in spring-emergence phenology in a temperate reptile (Ecology and evolution · 2022Article
- Article
- Prediction of the potential geographical distribution of Betula platyphylla Suk. in China under climate change scenarios.PloS one · 2022Article
- The legacy of Eastern Mediterranean mountain uplifts: rapid disparity of phylogenetic niche conservatism and divergence in mountain vipers.BMC ecology and evolution · 2021Article
- Chinese caterpillar fungus (Ophiocordyceps sinensis) in China: Current distribution, trading, and futures under climate change and overexploitation.The Science of the total environment · 2021Article
- Article
- Exploring snake occurrence records: Spatial biases and marginal gains from accessible social media.PeerJ · 2019Article
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5 authors.
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No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Climate change is among the most important drivers of biodiversity decline through shift or shrinkage in suitable habitat of species. Mountain vipers of the genus Montivipera are under extreme risk from climate changes given their evolutionary history and geographic distribution. In this study, we divided all Montivipera species into three phylogenetic-geographic Montivipera clades (PGMC; Bornmuelleri, Raddei and Xanthina) and applied an ensemble ecological niche modelling (ENM) approach under different climatic scenarios to assess changes in projected suitable habitats of these species. Based on the predicted range losses, we assessed the projected extinction risk of the species relative to IUCN Red List Criteria. Our result revealed a strong decline in suitable habitats for all PGMCs (63.8%, 79.3% and 96.8% for Xanthina, Raddei and Bornmuelleri, respectively, by 2070 and under 8.5 RCP scenario) with patterns of altitudinal range shifts in response to projected climate change. We found that the mountains close to the Mediterranean Sea are exposed to the highest threats in the future (84.6 ± 9.1 percent range loss). We also revealed that disjunct populations of Montivipera will be additionally highly isolated and fragmented in the future. We argue that leveraging climate niche projections into the risk assessment provides the opportunity to implement IUCN criteria and better assess forthcoming extinction risks of species.
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