Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31001814›Full record

ArticleActa obstetricia et gynecologica Scandinavica2019

Shock index thresholds to predict adverse outcomes in maternal hemorrhage and sepsis: A prospective cohort study.

Hannah L Nathan, Paul T Seed, Natasha L Hezelgrave, Annemarie De Greeff, Elodie Lawley, John Anthony, Wilhelm Steyn, David R Hall, Lucy C Chappell, Andrew H Shennan

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Acta obstetricia et gynecologica Scandinavica, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed
8.4field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 52 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Trial
  2. Trial
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  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Postpartum Haemorrhage and Long-Term Mortality.Paediatric and perinatal epidemiology · 2025
    Article
  11. Observational
  12. Prenatal hypertension as the risk of eclampsia, HELLP syndrome, and critical obstetric hemorrhage.Hypertension research : official journal of the Japanese Society of Hypertension · 2024
    Article
  13. Article
  14. How Learning from Trauma Benefits the Obstetric Population? Damage Control Surgery.Maternal-fetal medicine (Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc.) · 2023
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Observational
  17. Shock Index in the Prediction of Adverse Maternal Outcome.Journal of obstetrics and gynaecology of India · 2020
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Sepsis: Precision-Based Medicine for Pregnancy and the Puerperium.International journal of molecular sciences · 2019
    Review
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Hannah L NathanDepartment of Women and Children's Health, King's College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-4708-8973
Paul T SeedDepartment of Women and Children's Health, King's College London, London, UK.
Natasha L HezelgraveDepartment of Women and Children's Health, King's College London, London, UK.
Annemarie De GreeffDepartment of Women and Children's Health, King's College London, London, UK.
Elodie LawleyDepartment of Women and Children's Health, King's College London, London, UK.
John AnthonyMaternity Department, Groote Schuur Hospital, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.
Wilhelm SteynDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa.
David R HallDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa.
Lucy C ChappellDepartment of Women and Children's Health, King's College London, London, UK.
Andrew H ShennanDepartment of Women and Children's Health, King's College London, London, UK.
King's College London · GBStellenbosch University · ZAUniversity of Cape Town · ZA

Funding

Department of Health DRF-2013-06-171Department of Health RP-2014-05-019Gates Foundation OPP1086183
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionShock index (SI) is a predictor of hemodynamic compromise in obstetric patients. The SI threshold for action is not well understood. We aimed to evaluate SI thresholds as predictors of outcomes in obstetric patients. MATERIAL AND

methodsWe undertook a prospective cohort study at three South African hospitals of women with postpartum hemorrhage (n = 283) or maternal sepsis (n = 126). The "first" and "worst" SI following diagnosis were recorded. SI was compared with conventional vital signs as predictors of outcomes. The performance of SI <.9, SI .9-1.69 and SI ≥1.7 to predict outcomes (maternal death; Critical Care Unit admission; major procedure; hysterectomy) and hemorrhage-specific outcomes (lowest hemoglobin <70 g/l; blood transfusion ≥4 IU) were evaluated.

results"First" SI was one of two best performing vital signs for every outcome in postpartum hemorrhage and sepsis. In hemorrhage, risk of all outcomes increased with increasing "first" SI; for blood transfusion ≥4 IU odds ratio was 4.24 (95% confidence interval 1.25-14.36) for SI ≥1.7 vs SI .9-1.69. In sepsis, risk of all outcomes increased with increasing "worst" SI. Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values of "first" SI <.9 vs SI ≥.9 for maternal death were 100.0%, 55.2%, 4.6% and 100.0%, respectively, in hemorrhage and 80.0%, 50.4%, 12.3% and 96.7%, respectively, in sepsis.

conclusionsThe shock index was a consistent predictor of outcomes compared with conventional vital signs in postpartum hemorrhage and sepsis. SI <.9 performed well as a rule-out test and SI .9-1.69 and SI ≥1.7 indicated increased risk of all outcomes in both cohorts. These thresholds may alert to the need for urgent intervention and prevent maternal deaths.

Indexed as

Postpartum HemorrhageAdultFemaleHemodynamicsHumansMaternal MortalityPredictive Value of TestsPregnancyProspective StudiesSepsisShockSouth AfricaVital Signsblood pressureheart ratepostpartum hemorrhagesepsisshock indexvital signs

Identifiers

PMID31001814
PMCPMC6767575
OpenAlexW2938382903

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.