ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2019
Climate change and educational attainment in the global tropics.
Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
26 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Climate change impacts on child and adolescent health and well-being: A narrative review.Journal of global health · 2024Pooled it
- Our current climate already merits serious research and policy attention.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025Article
- Changing Degrees: a weight-of-evidence scoping review examining the impact of childhood exposures to climate change on educational outcomes.Environmental research · 2025Article
- How climate change is shaping young people's health: a participatory, youth co-led study from Bangladesh, Guatemala and Nigeria.BMJ global health · 2025Article
- The impact of climate variability on agricultural employment in Mexico from 1980-2017.PloS one · 2025Article
- The next 1000 days: building on early investments for the health and development of young children.Lancet (London, England) · 2024Review
- Exploring interactions between socioeconomic context and natural hazards on human population displacement.Nature communications · 2023Article
- "Measuring the Environmental Context of Child Growth in Burkina Faso".Population and environment · 2023Article
- Heat and Drought Reduce Subnational Population Growth in the Global Tropics.Population and environment · 2023Article
- Investigating the relationship between growing season quality and childbearing goals.Global environmental change : human and policy dimensions · 2023Article
- Investigating Seasonal Agriculture, Contraceptive Use, and Pregnancy in Burkina Faso.The Professional geographer : the journal of the Association of American Geographers · 2023Article
- Household Shocks and Adolescent Well-Being in Peru.Population research and policy review · 2023Article
- Africa and climate justice at COP27 and beyond: impacts and solutions through an interdisciplinary lens.UCL open. Environment · 2023Article
- Impact of air pollution on stunting among children in Africa.Environmental health : a global access science source · 2022Article
- The Childhood Origins of Climate-Induced Mobility and Immobility.Population and development review · 2022Article
- Climate Anomalies and Birth Rates in Sub-Saharan Africa.Climatic change · 2022Article
- "It's the poverty"-Stakeholder perspectives on barriers to secondary education in rural Burkina Faso.PloS one · 2022Article
- Climate change, social vulnerability and child nutrition in South Asia.Global environmental change : human and policy dimensions · 2021Article
- Climate anomalies and childhood growth in Peru.Population and environment · 2021Article
- Human Responses and Adaptation in a Changing Climate: A Framework Integrating Biological, Psychological, and Behavioural Aspects.Life (Basel, Switzerland) · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
2 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Climate change may negatively impact education among children via exposure to extreme temperature and precipitation conditions. We link census data from 29 countries across the global tropics to high-resolution gridded climate data to understand how climatic conditions experienced in utero and during early childhood affect educational attainment at ages 12 to 16. We show that exposure to higher-than-average temperatures during the prenatal and early-life period is associated with fewer years of schooling in Southeast Asia. In this region, a child who experiences temperatures 2 SDs above average is predicted to attain 1.5 fewer years of schooling than one who experiences average temperatures. In addition, early-life rainfall is positively correlated with attainment in West and Central Africa as well as Southeast Asia, and negatively correlated with attainment in Central America and the Caribbean. While we expected that children from the most educated households would be buffered from these effects, we discover that they tend to experience the greatest educational penalties when exposed to hotter early-life conditions and, in some regions, to drier conditions. For example, among the most educated households in West and Central Africa, predicted schooling is 1.8 years lower for children who experience early-life rainfall 2 SDs below average versus 2 SDs above average, while the difference is just 0.8 years for children from the least educated households. These results suggest that development and educational gains in the tropics could be undermined by climate change, even for better-off households.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.