Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30976808›Full record

ArticleJournal of the National Cancer Institute2019

Identification of Candidates for Longer Lung Cancer Screening Intervals Following a Negative Low-Dose Computed Tomography Result.

Hilary A Robbins, Christine D Berg, Li C Cheung, Anil K Chaturvedi, Hormuzd A Katki

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the National Cancer Institute, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 36 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
36citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
6.3field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

36 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 56 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Guideline
  2. Pooled it
  3. Lung Cancer Screening with Low-Dose CT: a Meta-Analysis.Journal of general internal medicine · 2020
    Pooled it
  4. Trial
  5. Trial
  6. Review
  7. Over- and underscreening for lung cancer.Translational lung cancer research · 2026
    Review
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Current and Future Perspectives on Computed Tomography Screening for Lung Cancer: A Roadmap From 2023 to 2027 From the International Association for the Study of Lung Cancer.Journal of thoracic oncology : official publication of the International Association for the Study of Lung Cancer · 2024
    Review
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Hilary A Robbins
Christine D Berg
Li C Cheung
Anil K Chaturvedi
Hormuzd A Katki
Centre International de Recherche sur le Cancer · FRDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and GeneticsNational Cancer Institute · US

Funding

Methods for Epidemiology StudiesZIACP010181 · NCI · DIVISION OF CANCER EPIDEMIOLOGY AND GENETICS · PI ALBERT, PAUL · 2009 to 2025
$34.8M
Translating Molecular and Clinical Data to Population Lung Cancer Risk AssessmentU19CA203654 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF NEW MEXICO HEALTH SCIS CTR · PI Christopher I. Amos, Rayjean J. Hung · 2017 to 2026
$23.7M
INSTITUTIONAL RESEARCH CANCER EPIDEMIOLOGY FELLOWSHIPT32CA009314 · NCI · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI Corinne E. Joshu, Meghan Bridgid Moran · 1985 to 2026
$11.2M
Optimizing Screening for HPV-related Cancers among People Living with HIVF31CA210660 · NCI · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI ROBBINS, HILARY A. · 2016 to 2017
$82k
NCI NIH HHS F31 CA210660NCI NIH HHS T32 CA009314NCI NIH HHS U19 CA203654
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Lengthening the annual low-dose computed tomography (CT) screening interval for individuals at lowest risk of lung cancer could reduce harms and improve efficiency. We analyzed 23 328 participants in the National Lung Screening Trial who had a negative CT screen (no ≥4-mm nodules) to develop an individualized model for lung cancer risk after a negative CT. The Lung Cancer Risk Assessment Tool + CT (LCRAT+CT) updates "prescreening risk" (calculated using traditional risk factors) with selected CT features. At the next annual screen following a negative CT, risk of cancer detection was reduced among the 70% of participants with neither CT-detected emphysema nor consolidation (median risk = 0.2%, interquartile range [IQR] = 0.1%-0.3%). However, risk increased for the 30% with CT emphysema (median risk = 0.5%, IQR = 0.3%-0.8%) and the 0.6% with consolidation (median = 1.6%, IQR = 1.0%-2.5%). As one example, a threshold of next-screen risk lower than 0.3% would lengthen the interval for 57.8% of screen-negatives, thus averting 49.8% of next-screen false-positives among screen-negatives but delaying diagnosis for 23.9% of cancers. Our results support that many, but not all, screen-negatives might reasonably lengthen their CT screening interval.

Indexed as

Early Detection of CancerTomography, X-Ray ComputedAge FactorsClinical Decision-MakingFemaleHumansLung NeoplasmsMaleMass ScreeningPopulation SurveillanceRadiation DosageTime Factors

Identifiers

PMID30976808
PMCPMC6748798
OpenAlexW2939041050

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.