Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30975088›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2019

High incidence and low case detection rate among contacts of tuberculosis cases in Shanghai, China.

Juntao Guo, Meixia Yang, Zheyuan Wu, Xin Shen, Yuanhui Wang, Genming Zhao

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
0.9field-weighted citation impact, top 28% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 15 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Juntao GuoInstitute of Tuberculosis and HIV/AIDS Control and Prevention, Shanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shanghai, China.
Meixia YangDepartment of Tuberculosis and HIV/AIDS Control and Prevention, Xuhui District Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shanghai, China.
Zheyuan WuInstitute of Tuberculosis and HIV/AIDS Control and Prevention, Shanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shanghai, China.
Xin ShenInstitute of Tuberculosis and HIV/AIDS Control and Prevention, Shanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shanghai, China.
Yuanhui WangDepartment of Tuberculosis and HIV/AIDS Control and Prevention, Xuhui District Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shanghai, China.
Genming ZhaoDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China. gmzhao@shmu.edu.cn.
Shanghai Municipal Center For Disease Control Prevention · CNFudan University · CN

Funding

Key Project of Chinese National Programs 2013ZX10004903
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTo assess the effect of a contact investigation strategy by assessing the incidence of tuberculosis and the case detection rate among contacts of tuberculosis patients.

methodsThe pulmonary tuberculosis incidence among contacts was determined retrospectively from a tuberculosis information management system. For each detection method (symptom examination only, symptom examination plus chest radiography or other alternatives), the detection rate of pulmonary tuberculosis patients among contacts was derived from contact investigation form records.

resultsSixty-nine cases of pulmonary tuberculosis were identified among a total of 8137 contacts after an average follow-up of 2.6 years (range: 0.25-5.25) during the period from 2010 to 2014. The incidence density was 329/100,000 person-years (PYs), and the 95% confidence interval (CI) was 256-419/100,000 PYs, which was significantly higher than the notification rate during the same period in the general population (29-30/100,000 PYs). The incidence density was higher (p < 0.0001) among male contacts (462/100,000 PYs) than among female contacts (236/100,000 PYs). The incidence density did not differ (p > 0.05) between contacts whose index case was sputum smear positive and those whose index case was sputum smear negative. Contacts who were biologically related family of the index cases exhibited a higher (p < 0.05) incidence density (475/100,000 PYs) than other contacts (281/100,000 PYs). Fifteen of the 69 incident cases were found through contact investigation, corresponding to a case detection rate via contact investigation of 22% (95% CI: 13-33%). The relevance ratio was 288/100,000 (12/4163) by both chest radiography and symptom survey, which was significantly higher than the rate detected by symptom survey alone, of 57/100,000 (2/3486), p = 0.028. The cumulative incidence in the contacts was 761/100,000 (62/8137) within 3 years from the time that the index cases were diagnosed with pulmonary tuberculosis, which was higher than the incidence rate of 210/100,000 (7/3328) recorded after 3 years (p < 0.001).

conclusionsThe contacts were at higher risk of pulmonary tuberculosis than the general population; however, only approximately 22% of the incident cases could be detected through contact investigation. Therefore, the contact investigation strategy must be improved for better detection of potential pulmonary tuberculosis cases.

Indexed as

Contact TracingAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overChildChild, PreschoolChinaFemaleHumansIncidenceInfantMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective StudiesSputumContact investigationDisease densityIndex caseTuberculosis

Identifiers

PMID30975088
PMCPMC6460728
OpenAlexW2946552981

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.