Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30973674›Full record

ArticleTransboundary and emerging diseases2019

The possible route of introduction of bluetongue virus serotype 3 into Sicily by windborne transportation of infected Culicoides spp.

Cecilia Aguilar-Vega, Eduardo Fernández-Carrión, José M Sánchez-Vizcaíno

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Transboundary and emerging diseases, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Assessing the Risk of Windborne Dispersal ofTransboundary and emerging diseases · 2024
    Article
  12. An outbreak of Akabane disease in a cattle herd on the Mughan plain, Iran.Veterinary research forum : an international quarterly journal · 2024
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Molecular epidemiology of Akabane virus in Taiwan.Veterinary medicine and science · 2022
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Use of meteorological data in biosecurity.Emerging topics in life sciences · 2020
    Review
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Prospects of Next-Generation Vaccines for Bluetongue.Frontiers in veterinary science · 2019
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Cecilia Aguilar-VegaVISAVET Health Surveillance Centre, Universidad Complutense Madrid, Madrid, Spain.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5981-7291
Eduardo Fernández-CarriónVISAVET Health Surveillance Centre, Universidad Complutense Madrid, Madrid, Spain.
José M Sánchez-VizcaínoVISAVET Health Surveillance Centre, Universidad Complutense Madrid, Madrid, Spain.

Funding

EU project H2020-SFS-2016-2
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In October 2017, the first outbreak of bluetongue virus serotype 3 (BTV-3) began in Italy, specifically in western Sicily. The route of entrance remains unclear, although since 2016 the same strain had been circulating only 150 km away, on the Tunisian peninsula of Cape Bon. The present analysis assessed the feasibility that wind could have carried BTV-3-infected Culicoides spp. from Tunisia to Sicily. An advection-deposition-survival (ADS) model was used to estimate when and where Culicoides spp. were likely to be introduced prior to the first BTV-3 report in Italy. Additionally, the Hybrid Single-Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory (HYSPLIT) model was used to support ADS outputs. The modelling suggests that during September 2017, strong wind currents and suitable climatic conditions could have allowed the transportation of Culicoides spp. from BTV-3-infected areas in Tunisia into Sicily. ADS simulations suggest that particles could have reached the province of Trapani in western Sicily on 2 and 12 September. These simulations suggest the feasibility of aerial transportation of infected Culicoides spp. from Tunisia into Sicily. They demonstrate the suitability of the ADS model for retrospective studies of long-range transportation of insects across large water bodies, which may enhance the early detection of vectorial disease introduction in a region.

Indexed as

Animal MigrationWindAnimal DistributionAnimalsBluetongue virusCeratopogonidaeInsect VectorsModels, TheoreticalSerogroupSicilyTransportationTunisiabluetongueCulicoidesintroductionserotype 3windborne

Identifiers

PMID30973674
PMCPMC6850078

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.