Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30971703›Full record

ArticleNature communications2019

Age-specific differences in the dynamics of protective immunity to influenza.

Sylvia Ranjeva, Rahul Subramanian, Vicky J Fang, Gabriel M Leung, Dennis K M Ip, Ranawaka A P M Perera, J S Malik Peiris, Benjamin J Cowling, Sarah Cobey

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 114 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
114citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
15.0field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

114 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 179 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Enhanced Influenza Vaccines Extend A(H3N2) Antibody Reactivity in Older Adults but Prior Vaccination Effects Persist.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2025
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54 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Sylvia RanjevaDepartment of Ecology and Evolution, University of Chicago, 1101 E 57th Street, Chicago, IL, 60637, USA. slr@uchicago.edu.
Rahul SubramanianDepartment of Ecology and Evolution, University of Chicago, 1101 E 57th Street, Chicago, IL, 60637, USA.
Vicky J FangWHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong, Patrick Manson Building, 7 Sassoon Road, Pokfulam, Hong Kong, China.
Gabriel M LeungWHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong, Patrick Manson Building, 7 Sassoon Road, Pokfulam, Hong Kong, China.
Dennis K M IpWHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong, Patrick Manson Building, 7 Sassoon Road, Pokfulam, Hong Kong, China.
Ranawaka A P M PereraWHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong, Patrick Manson Building, 7 Sassoon Road, Pokfulam, Hong Kong, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3936-1535
J S Malik PeirisWHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong, Patrick Manson Building, 7 Sassoon Road, Pokfulam, Hong Kong, China.
Benjamin J CowlingWHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong, Patrick Manson Building, 7 Sassoon Road, Pokfulam, Hong Kong, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6297-7154
Sarah CobeyDepartment of Ecology and Evolution, University of Chicago, 1101 E 57th Street, Chicago, IL, 60637, USA.
University of Hong Kong · HKUniversity of Chicago · US

Funding

MEDICAL SCIENTIST TRAININGT32GM007281 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO · PI CLARK, MARCUS RAMSAY · 1985 to 2022
$32.1M
Understanding and controlling antibiotic resistanceU54GM088558 · NIGMS · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI LIPSITCH, MARC · 2009 to 2018
$26.4M
Modeling the Evolutionary Dynamics of Immunity to Influenza for Vaccine DevelopmeDP2AI117921 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO · PI COBEY, SARAH · 2014 to 2014
$2.1M
Modeling the Dynamics of Human Papillomavirus to Inform Vaccination StrategyF30AI124636 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO · PI RANJEVA, SYLVIA · 2017 to 2019
$149k
NIAID NIH HHS DP2 AI117921NIAID NIH HHS F30 AI124636NIGMS NIH HHS T32 GM007281NIGMS NIH HHS U54 GM088558NIH HHS F30AI124636NIH HHS HHSN272201400005CNIH HHS T32GM007281NIH HHS U54GM088558
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Influenza A viruses evolve rapidly to escape host immunity, causing reinfection. The form and duration of protection after each influenza virus infection are poorly understood. We quantify the dynamics of protective immunity by fitting individual-level mechanistic models to longitudinal serology from children and adults. We find that most protection in children but not adults correlates with antibody titers to the hemagglutinin surface protein. Protection against circulating strains wanes to half of peak levels 3.5-7 years after infection in both age groups, and wanes faster against influenza A(H3N2) than A(H1N1)pdm09. Protection against H3N2 lasts longer in adults than in children. Our results suggest that influenza antibody responses shift focus with age from the mutable hemagglutinin head to other epitopes, consistent with the theory of original antigenic sin, and might affect protection. Imprinting, or primary infection with a subtype, has modest to no effect on the risk of non-medically attended infections in adults.

Indexed as

Models, BiologicalAdolescentAdultAgedAge FactorsAntibodies, ViralAntigens, ViralChildChild, PreschoolCross ProtectionFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHemagglutininsHong KongHumansImmunologic MemoryAntibodies, ViralAntigens, ViralHemagglutininsInfluenza Vaccines

Identifiers

PMID30971703
PMCPMC6458119
OpenAlexW2953290589

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.