Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30964908›Full record

ArticlePloS one2019

Seasonality of childhood tuberculosis cases in Kampala, Uganda, 2010-2015.

Devan Jaganath, Eric Wobudeya, Moorine Penninah Sekadde, Betty Nsangi, Heather Haq, Adithya Cattamanchi

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. A scoping review on climate change and tuberculosis.International journal of biometeorology · 2021
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Impact of shelter-in-place on TB case notifications and mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic.The international journal of tuberculosis and lung disease : the official journal of the International Union against Tuberculosis and Lung Disease · 2020
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Devan JaganathDivision of Pediatric Infectious Diseases, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, United States of America.
Eric WobudeyaDirectorate of Pediatrics and Child Health, Mulago National Referral Hospital, Kampala, Uganda.
Moorine Penninah SekaddeNational Tuberculosis and Leprosy Programme (NTLP), Kampala, Uganda.
Betty NsangiUSAID RHITES-EC, University Research Co. LLC, Kampala, Uganda.
Heather HaqDepartment of Pediatrics, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas, United States of America.
Adithya CattamanchiDivision of Pulmonology and Critical Care Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, United States of America.

Funding

Pediatric Scientist Development Program (PSDP) [K12]K12HD000850 · NICHD · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI Sallie R. Permar · 1987 to 2026
$44.1M
NICHD NIH HHS K12 HD000850
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSeasonality in tuberculosis (TB) has been described, especially in children. However, few studies have assessed seasonality of TB in the equatorial region, and none in children.

objectivesTo assess for seasonality of childhood TB cases in Kampala, Uganda, and determine the role of temperature, rainfall patterns, and influenza cases on TB diagnoses.

methodsWe retrospectively analyzed demographic and clinical data of children (under 15 years) diagnosed with TB at a pediatric TB clinic in Kampala, Uganda from 2010 to 2015. We performed decomposition analysis of the monthly case time series to assess seasonality. We compared monthly mean plots and performed Poisson regression to assess any association between TB diagnoses and temperature, rainfall, and influenza.

resultsOf the 713 childhood TB cases diagnosed at the clinic, 609 (85%) were clinically diagnosed and 492 (69%) were pulmonary cases. There were minimal monthly variations in TB cases, with a trough in December and peaks in July and October, but there was no significant seasonality. Temperature variations did not show a clear pattern with TB diagnoses. Rainfall alternated with TB diagnoses in the first half of the year, but then overlapped in the second half and was significantly associated with TB diagnoses. Influenza cases were significantly related to TB diagnoses with (β = 0.05, 95% CI 0.01 to 0.09, p = 0.01) or without (β = 0.06, 95% CI 0.01 to 0.1, p = 0.01) rainfall, and had particular overlap with pulmonary TB cases.

conclusionsSeasonal variations in childhood TB diagnoses were non-significant. Temperature did not have a clear pattern with TB diagnoses, but rainfall and influenza cases correlated with the primarily clinically diagnosed childhood TB cases.

Indexed as

SeasonsAdolescentChildFemaleHumansInfluenza, HumanMalePediatricsPoisson DistributionRainRegression AnalysisReproducibility of ResultsRetrospective StudiesTemperatureTuberculosisTuberculosis, Pulmonary

Identifiers

PMID30964908
PMCPMC6456174

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.