ArticleNature communications2019
More frequent extreme climate events stabilize reindeer population dynamics.
Article in Nature communications, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
24 citing papers in PubMed.
- Compound Ecoclimatic Events: The Long-Term Recovery of Conservation-Priority Mammals After an Extreme Ice Storm Event Was Promoted by the Alleviation of Poaching.Global change biology · 2026Article
- Riding out the storm: Behavioural responses of a large herbivore to high-Arctic winds.The Journal of animal ecology · 2026Article
- Comparative life-cycle analyses reveal interacting climatic and biotic drivers of population responses to climate change.PNAS nexus · 2025Article
- Effects of Glutamine Supplementation and Early Cold Conditioning on Cold Stress Adaptability in Broilers.Animals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2025Article
- Heterogeneity of Locked-Pasture Snow Conditions Modulate Habitat and Movement Choices of a Facultative Migrant.Ecology and evolution · 2025Article
- Past and future effects of climate on the metapopulation dynamics of a Northeast Atlantic seabird across two centuries.Ecology letters · 2024Article
- The role of indirect interspecific effects in the stochastic dynamics of a simple trophic system.The Journal of animal ecology · 2024Article
- Evidence for an Adaptive, Large-Scale Range Shift in a Long-Distance Terrestrial Migrant.Global change biology · 2024Article
- Article
- Rate-induced tipping in complex high-dimensional ecological networks.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023Article
- Adaptation to the High-Arctic island environment despite long-term reduced genetic variation in Svalbard reindeer.iScience · 2023Article
- Extreme events, trophic chain reactions, and shifts in phenotypic selection.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Contrasting genomic consequences of anthropogenic reintroduction and natural recolonization in high-arctic wild reindeer.Evolutionary applications · 2023Article
- Pathways to global-change effects on biodiversity: new opportunities for dynamically forecasting demography and species interactions.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2023Review
- Climate presses and pulses mediate the decline of a migratory predator.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023Article
- Svalbard reindeer winter diets: Long-term dietary shifts to graminoids in response to a changing climate.Global change biology · 2022Article
- Modelling the responses of partially migratory metapopulations to changing seasonal migration rates: From theory to data.The Journal of animal ecology · 2022Article
- Nonlinear spatial and temporal decomposition provides insight for climate change effects on sub-Arctic herbivore populations.Oecologia · 2022Article
- Detecting climate signals in populations across life histories.Global change biology · 2022Article
- Climate variability and density-dependent population dynamics: Lessons from a simple High Arctic ecosystem.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
11 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Extreme climate events often cause population crashes but are difficult to account for in population-dynamic studies. Especially in long-lived animals, density dependence and demography may induce lagged impacts of perturbations on population growth. In Arctic ungulates, extreme rain-on-snow and ice-locked pastures have led to severe population crashes, indicating that increasingly frequent rain-on-snow events could destabilize populations. Here, using empirically parameterized, stochastic population models for High-Arctic wild reindeer, we show that more frequent rain-on-snow events actually reduce extinction risk and stabilize population dynamics due to interactions with age structure and density dependence. Extreme rain-on-snow events mainly suppress vital rates of vulnerable ages at high population densities, resulting in a crash and a new population state with resilient ages and reduced population sensitivity to subsequent icy winters. Thus, observed responses to single extreme events are poor predictors of population dynamics and persistence because internal density-dependent feedbacks act as a buffer against more frequent events.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.