ArticleJournal of the Royal Society, Interface2019
Estimation in emerging epidemics: biases and remedies.
Article in Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 83 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
83 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Meta-analysis of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 serial intervals and the impact of parameter uncertainty on the coronavirus disease 2019 reproduction number.Statistical methods in medical research · 2022Pooled it
- Unjustified Poisson assumptions lead to overconfident estimates of the effective reproductive number.Epidemiology and infection · 2026Article
- Global approaches to infectious disease surveillance and modeling.Nature medicine · 2026Review
- Epidemiological characteristics of monkeypox virus Clade Ib in the Democratic Republic of the Congo.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Review
- Basic reproduction number varies markedly between closely related pandemic Escherichia coli clones.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Article
- Estimation of end-of-outbreak probabilities in the presence of delayed and incomplete case reporting.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2025Article
- Time-varying reproductive number estimation for practical application in structured populations.Epidemiologic methods · 2025Article
- Spatiotemporal Cluster Detection for COVID-19 Outbreak Surveillance: Descriptive Analysis Study.JMIR public health and surveillance · 2024Article
- Best practices for estimating and reporting epidemiological delay distributions of infectious diseases.PLoS computational biology · 2024Article
- Understanding the infection severity and epidemiological characteristics of mpox in the UK.Nature communications · 2024Article
- Estimates of early outbreak-specific SARS-CoV-2 epidemiological parameters from genomic data.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024Article
- Article
- The disutility of compartmental model forecasts during the COVID-19 pandemic.Frontiers in epidemiology · 2024Article
- Angular reproduction numbers improve estimates of transmissibility when disease generation times are misspecified or time-varying.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2023Article
- Estimating the epidemic reproduction number from temporally aggregated incidence data: A statistical modelling approach and software tool.PLoS computational biology · 2023Article
- Inferring the differences in incubation-period and generation-interval distributions of the Delta and Omicron variants of SARS-CoV-2.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023Article
- Spatially explicit effective reproduction numbers from incidence and mobility data.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023Article
- Data-driven multiscale dynamical framework to control a pandemic evolution with non-pharmaceutical interventions.PloS one · 2023Article
23 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
2 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
When analysing new emerging infectious disease outbreaks, one typically has observational data over a limited period of time and several parameters to estimate, such as growth rate, the basic reproduction number R
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Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.