Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30953573›Full record

ReviewGlobal change biology2019

Rethinking false spring risk.

Catherine J Chamberlain, Benjamin I Cook, Iñaki García de Cortázar-Atauri, Elizabeth M Wolkovich

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Global change biology, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
27citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

27 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
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  13. Net Ecosystem COGlobal change biology · 2025
    Article
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  16. New York State Climate Impacts Assessment Chapter 05: Ecosystems.Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences · 2024
    Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Catherine J ChamberlainArnold Arboretum of Harvard University, Boston, Massachusetts.ORCID 0000-0001-5495-3219
Benjamin I CookNASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, New York.
Iñaki García de Cortázar-AtauriFrench National Institute for Agricultural Research, INRA, US1116 AgroClim, Avignon, France.
Elizabeth M WolkovichArnold Arboretum of Harvard University, Boston, Massachusetts.

Funding

Science Earth Science System NASA
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Temperate plants are at risk of being exposed to late spring freezes. These freeze events-often called false springs-are one of the strongest factors determining temperate plants species range limits and can impose high ecological and economic damage. As climate change may alter the prevalence and severity of false springs, our ability to forecast such events has become more critical, and it has led to a growing body of research. Many false spring studies largely simplify the myriad complexities involved in assessing false spring risks and damage. While these studies have helped advance the field and may provide useful estimates at large scales, studies at the individual to community levels must integrate more complexity for accurate predictions of plant damage from late spring freezes. Here, we review current metrics of false spring, and how, when, and where plants are most at risk of freeze damage. We highlight how life stage, functional group, species differences in morphology and phenology, and regional climatic differences contribute to the damage potential of false springs. More studies aimed at understanding relationships among species tolerance and avoidance strategies, climatic regimes, and the environmental cues that underlie spring phenology would improve predictions at all biological levels. An integrated approach to assessing past and future spring freeze damage would provide novel insights into fundamental plant biology and offer more robust predictions as climate change progresses, which are essential for mitigating the adverse ecological and economic effects of false springs.

Indexed as

Climate ChangePlantsFreezingSeasonsclimate changefalse springforest communitiesfreezing tolerancephenology

Identifiers

PMID30953573
PMCPMC8844870

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.