Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30950880›Full record

ArticleAIDS (London, England)2019

Incidence and time trends of anal cancer among people living with HIV in Australia.

Fengyi Jin, Claire M Vajdic, Matthew Law, Janaki Amin, Marina van Leeuwen, Skye McGregor, I Mary Poynten, David J Templeton, Andrew E Grulich

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in AIDS (London, England), 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  3. An overview of clinical trials in anal cancer 1999-2024.ESMO gastrointestinal oncology · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Fengyi JinThe Kirby Institute.
Claire M VajdicCentre for Big Data Research in Health, University of New South Wales.
Matthew LawThe Kirby Institute.
Janaki AminDepartment of Health Systems and Populations, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Macquarie University.
Marina van LeeuwenCentre for Big Data Research in Health, University of New South Wales.
Skye McGregorThe Kirby Institute.
I Mary PoyntenThe Kirby Institute.
David J TempletonThe Kirby Institute.
Andrew E GrulichThe Kirby Institute.

Funding

The Asia-Pacific HIV Research CollaborationU01AI069907 · NIAID · FOUNDATION FOR AIDS RESEARCH · PI ANNETTE H SOHN · 2006 to 2026
$44.8M
NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI069907
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAnal cancer incidence increased markedly in people living with HIV (PLWHIV) after the introduction of HAART, but in a few setting settings, recent declines have been reported. We report the incidence and time trends of anal cancer in PLWHIV in Australia. STUDY

designA data linkage study between the National HIV Registries and the Australian Cancer Database.

methodsCases of anal squamous cell carcinoma (ASCC) in Australians aged 16 years and above diagnosed with HIV between 1982 and 2012 were identified. Standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) were calculated to compare incidence with that of the general population. Poisson regression models were developed to describe the time trends of ASCC over time and to compare ASCC risk within subgroups of PLWHIV.

resultsAmong 28 696 individuals, a total of 129 cases of ASCC were identified. The crude incidence was 36.3 per 100 000 person-years and it increased sharply from 14.8 to 62.1 per 100 000 person-years between 1982-1995 and 2009-2012 (P trend <0.001). The SIR was 35.3 (95% confidence interval 29.5-42.0), and there was an inverse association between SIR and increasing age (P trend <0.001). In multivariate analyses, ASCC incidence was significantly higher in recent years (P trend <0.001), in those who acquired HIV through male homosexual contact (P = 0.002), and in those who had a history of AIDS (P < 0.001).

conclusionPLWHIV in Australia are at markedly higher risk of anal cancer. Unlike in some industrialized countries with a mature HIV epidemic, the incidence of anal cancer is still increasing in this population in Australia.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAnus NeoplasmsAustraliaCarcinoma, Squamous CellCohort StudiesFemaleHIV InfectionsHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedRisk AssessmentTime Factors

Identifiers

PMID30950880
PMCPMC7141812

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.