ArticleWorld development2019
Agricultural investments and hunger in Africa modeling potential contributions to SDG2 - Zero Hunger.
Article in World development, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
16 citing papers in PubMed.
- Adherence to the EAT-Lancet planetary health diet and its associations with obesity and health-related quality of life in Iranian adolescents: a cross-sectional study.BMC public health · 2026Article
- The potential impact of wheat stem rust on global agricultural supply, demand, and food security, considering market interactions.PloS one · 2026Article
- Impacts of agritech on sustainable agriculture in Sub-Saharan Africa: a quantile regression approach towards SDG 2.4.Carbon balance and management · 2025Article
- Global analysis reveals persistent shortfalls and regional differences in availability of foods needed for health.Global food security · 2025Article
- Gender preferences for multiple attributes of soil and water conservation in Northern Rwanda.Heliyon · 2024Article
- Climate finance and women-hunger alleviation in the global south: Is the Sub-Saharan Africa case any different?PloS one · 2024Article
- Pollinator Deficits, Food Consumption, and Consequences for Human Health: A Modeling Study.Environmental health perspectives · 2022Article
- Assessing the impacts of agricultural drought (SPI/SPEI) on maize and wheat yields across Hungary.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Impacts of COVID-19 on Sustainable Development Goals and effective approaches to maneuver them in the post-pandemic environment.Environmental science and pollution research international · 2022Article
- Sprouts and Microgreens-Novel Food Sources for Healthy Diets.Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Review
- Disability-adjusted life years due to chronic and hidden hunger under food system evolution with climate change and adaptation to 2050.The American journal of clinical nutrition · 2021Article
- Unlocking the potential for achievement of the UN Sustainable Development Goal 2 - 'Zero Hunger' - in Africa: targets, strategies, synergies and challenges.Food & nutrition research · 2021Review
- Article
- Overinvestment in selected Central and Eastern European countries: Production and economic effects.PloS one · 2021Article
- The Role of Vegetable Genetic Resources in Nutrition Security and Vegetable Breeding.Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2020Review
- Gaps between fruit and vegetable production, demand, and recommended consumption at global and national levels: an integrated modelling study.The Lancet. Planetary health · 2019Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
12 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
We use IFPRI's IMPACT framework of linked biophysical and structural economic models to examine developments in global agricultural production systems, climate change, and food security. Building on related work on how increased investment in agricultural research, resource management, and infrastructure can address the challenges of meeting future food demand, we explore the costs and implications of these investments for reducing hunger in Africa by 2030. This analysis is coupled with a new investment estimation model, based on the perpetual inventory methodology (PIM), which allows for a better assessment of the costs of achieving projected agricultural improvements. We find that climate change will continue to slow projected reductions in hunger in the coming decades-increasing the number of people at risk of hunger in 2030 by 16 million in Africa compared to a scenario without climate change. Investments to increase agricultural productivity can offset the adverse impacts of climate change and help reduce the share of people at risk of hunger in 2030 to five percent or less in Northern, Western, and Southern Africa, but the share is projected to remain at ten percent or more in Eastern and Central Africa. Investments in Africa to achieve these results are estimated to cost about 15 billion USD per year between 2015 and 2030, as part of a larger package of investments costing around 52 billion USD in developing countries.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.