Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30943979›Full record

Observational studyBMC medicine2019

B-type natriuretic peptide trumps other prognostic markers in patients assessed for coronary disease.

Dipak Kotecha, Marcus D Flather, Dan Atar, Peter Collins, John Pepper, Elizabeth Jenkins, Christopher M Reid, David Eccleston, Alternative Risk Markers in Coronary Artery Disease (ARM-CAD) Study

Registry-linked trialOpen access · goldAbstract readMulticenter StudyObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in BMC medicine, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT00403351 (Correlation of Multiple Risk Factors With Presence and Severity of Coronary Artery Disease.), which is not on this map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
2.6field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT00403351 completednot on this map

Correlation of Multiple Risk Factors With Presence and Severity of Coronary Artery Disease.

TypeobservationalSponsorMonash UniversityRan2006 to 2016Enrolled665ConditionsCoronary Artery Disease
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 27 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Trial
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  3. Observational
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  11. The age, NT-proBNP, and Ejection Fraction Score as a Novel Predictor of Clinical Outcomes in CAD Patients After PCI.Clinical and applied thrombosis/hemostasis : official journal of the International Academy of Clinical and Applied Thrombosis/Hemostasis
    Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 6 institutions in 3 countries.

Dipak KotechaInstitute of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK. d.kotecha@bham.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0002-2570-9812
Marcus D FlatherFaculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK.
Dan AtarDepartment of Cardiology, Oslo University Hospital Ulleval, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.
Peter CollinsRoyal Brompton Hospital and National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK.
John PepperRoyal Brompton Hospital and National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Elizabeth JenkinsBaker Heart and Diabetes Institute, Melbourne, Australia.
Christopher M ReidMonash Centre of Cardiovascular Research and Education in Therapeutics, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Melbourne, Australia.
David EcclestonMonash Centre of Cardiovascular Research and Education in Therapeutics, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Melbourne, Australia.
Alternative Risk Markers in Coronary Artery Disease (ARM-CAD) Study
Baker Heart and Diabetes Institute · AUMonash University · AUUniversity of East Anglia · GBCurtin University · AUOslo University Hospital · NORoyal Brompton Hospital · GB

Funding

Department of Health CDF-2015-08-074
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRisk prediction for patients with suspected coronary artery disease is complex due to the common occurrence of prior cardiovascular disease and extensive risk modification in primary care. Numerous markers have the potential to predict prognosis and guide management, but we currently lack robust 'real-world' evidence for their use.

methodsProspective, multicentre observational study of consecutive patients referred for elective coronary angiography. Clinicians were blinded to all risk assessments, consisting of conventional factors, radial artery pulse wave analysis, 5-minute heart rate variability, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein and B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP). Blinded, independent adjudication was performed for all-cause mortality and the composite of death, myocardial infarction or stroke, analysed with Cox proportional hazards regression.

resultsFive hundred twenty-two patients were assessed with median age 66 years and 21% prior revascularization. Median baseline left ventricular ejection fraction was 64%, and 62% had ≥ 50% stenosis on angiography. During 5.0 years median follow-up, 30% underwent percutaneous and 16% surgical revascularization. In multivariate analysis, only age and BNP were independently associated with outcomes. The adjusted hazard ratio per log unit increase in BNP was 2.15 for mortality (95% CI 1.45-3.19; p = 0.0001) and 1.27 for composite events (1.04-1.54; p = 0.018). Patients with baseline BNP > 100 pg/mL had substantially higher mortality and composite events (20.9% and 32.2%) than those with BNP ≤ 100 pg/mL (5.6% and 15.5%). BNP improved both classification and discrimination of outcomes (p ≤ 0.003), regardless of left ventricular systolic function. Conversely, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, pulse wave analysis and heart rate variability were unrelated to prognosis at 5 years after risk modification and treatment of coronary disease.

conclusionsConventional risk factors and other markers of arterial compliance, inflammation and autonomic function have limited value for prediction of outcomes in risk-modified patients assessed for coronary disease. BNP can independently identify patients with subtle impairment of cardiac function that might benefit from more intensive management.

trial registrationClinicaltrials.gov, NCT00403351 Registered on 22 November 2006.

Indexed as

BiomarkersCoronary Artery DiseaseNatriuretic Peptide, BrainAgedAustraliaCause of DeathCoronary AngiographyC-Reactive ProteinFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedMyocardial InfarctionPredictive Value of TestsPrognosisBiomarkersC-Reactive ProteinNatriuretic Peptide, BrainB-type natriuretic peptideCoronary angiographyCoronary artery diseaseMortalityRisk

Identifiers

PMID30943979
PMCPMC6448253
OpenAlexW2927898017

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.