Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30933973›Full record

ArticlePLoS computational biology2019

Prediction of VRC01 neutralization sensitivity by HIV-1 gp160 sequence features.

Craig A Magaret, David C Benkeser, Brian D Williamson, Bhavesh R Borate, Lindsay N Carpp, Ivelin S Georgiev, Ian Setliff, Adam S Dingens, Noah Simon, Marco Carone and 10 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS computational biology, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 30 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
30citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.8field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

30 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 39 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Recurrent mutations drive rapid HIV escape from two broadly neutralizing antibodies in vivo.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Practical Considerations for Variable Screening in the Super Learner.The New England Journal of Statistics in Data Science · 2025
    Article
  12. Data fusion using weakly aligned sources.Journal of the American Statistical Association · 2025
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Prevention efficacy of the broadly neutralizing antibody VRC01 depends on HIV-1 envelope sequence features.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

20 authors at 8 institutions in 2 countries.

Craig A MagaretVaccine and Infectious Disease Division and Statistical Center for HIV/AIDS Research and Prevention, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington, United States of America.
David C BenkeserDepartment of Biostatistics and Bioinformatics, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-1019-8343
Brian D WilliamsonDepartment of Biostatistics, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-7024-548X
Bhavesh R BorateVaccine and Infectious Disease Division and Statistical Center for HIV/AIDS Research and Prevention, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington, United States of America.
Lindsay N CarppVaccine and Infectious Disease Division and Statistical Center for HIV/AIDS Research and Prevention, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0003-0333-5925
Ivelin S GeorgievVanderbilt Vaccine Center, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee, United States of America.
Ian SetliffVanderbilt Vaccine Center, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0003-4726-6132
Adam S DingensDivision of Basic Sciences and Computational Biology Program, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington, United States of America.
Noah SimonDepartment of Biostatistics, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America.
Marco CaroneDepartment of Biostatistics, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America.
Christopher SimpkinsVaccine and Infectious Disease Division and Statistical Center for HIV/AIDS Research and Prevention, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington, United States of America.
David MontefioriDuke University School of Medicine, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0003-0856-6319
Galit AlterRagon Institute of MGH, MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, Massachusetts, United States of America.
Wen-Han YuRagon Institute of MGH, MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, Massachusetts, United States of America.
Michal JuraskaVaccine and Infectious Disease Division and Statistical Center for HIV/AIDS Research and Prevention, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington, United States of America.
Paul T EdlefsenVaccine and Infectious Disease Division and Statistical Center for HIV/AIDS Research and Prevention, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington, United States of America.
Shelly KarunaVaccine and Infectious Disease Division and Statistical Center for HIV/AIDS Research and Prevention, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington, United States of America.
Nyaradzo M MgodiUniversity of Zimbabwe College of Health Sciences Clinical Trials Research Centre, Harare, Zimbabwe.
Srilatha EdugupantiDepartment of Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America.
Peter B GilbertVaccine and Infectious Disease Division and Statistical Center for HIV/AIDS Research and Prevention, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-2662-9427
Fred Hutch Cancer Center · USUniversity of Washington · USEmory University · USRagon Institute of MGH, MIT and Harvard · USDuke University · USUniversity of Zimbabwe · ZWVanderbilt University · USVanderbilt University Medical Center · US

Funding

LOC: HIV Vaccine Trials NetworkUM1AI068614 · NIAID · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI Dan H. Barouch, Lawrence Corey · 2011 to 2026
$1175.6M
SDMC: HIV Vaccine Trials NetworkUM1AI068635 · NIAID · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI Peter B. Gilbert, Yunda Huang · 2011 to 2026
$385.9M
UZ-UCSF CTUUM1AI069436 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI ZVAVAHERA MIKE CHIRENJE, LYNDA STRANIX-CHIBANDA · 2012 to 2026
$75.9M
UZ-UCSF Clinical Trials UnitU01AI069436 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI CHIRENJE, ZVAVAHERA MIKE · 2007 to 2011
$49.3M
Statistical Methods in HIV Vaccine Efficacy TrialsR37AI054165 · NIAID · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI Peter B. Gilbert · 2010 to 2026
$6.7M
FHCRC High-Performance Computing ClusterS10OD020069 · OD · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI KOOPERBERG, CHARLES L · 2015 to 2015
$600k
Evaluating predictors of HIV vaccine efficacy: Statistical methods for estimation, testing, and inferenceF31AI140836 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI WILLIAMSON, BRIAN DAVID · 2018 to 2019
$65k
NIAID NIH HHS F31 AI140836NIAID NIH HHS R37 AI054165NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI069436NIAID NIH HHS UM1 AI068614NIAID NIH HHS UM1 AI068635NIAID NIH HHS UM1 AI069436NIH HHS S10 OD020069
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The broadly neutralizing antibody (bnAb) VRC01 is being evaluated for its efficacy to prevent HIV-1 infection in the Antibody Mediated Prevention (AMP) trials. A secondary objective of AMP utilizes sieve analysis to investigate how VRC01 prevention efficacy (PE) varies with HIV-1 envelope (Env) amino acid (AA) sequence features. An exhaustive analysis that tests how PE depends on every AA feature with sufficient variation would have low statistical power. To design an adequately powered primary sieve analysis for AMP, we modeled VRC01 neutralization as a function of Env AA sequence features of 611 HIV-1 gp160 pseudoviruses from the CATNAP database, with objectives: (1) to develop models that best predict the neutralization readouts; and (2) to rank AA features by their predictive importance with classification and regression methods. The dataset was split in half, and machine learning algorithms were applied to each half, each analyzed separately using cross-validation and hold-out validation. We selected Super Learner, a nonparametric ensemble-based cross-validated learning method, for advancement to the primary sieve analysis. This method predicted the dichotomous resistance outcome of whether the IC50 neutralization titer of VRC01 for a given Env pseudovirus is right-censored (indicating resistance) with an average validated AUC of 0.868 across the two hold-out datasets. Quantitative log IC50 was predicted with an average validated R2 of 0.355. Features predicting neutralization sensitivity or resistance included 26 surface-accessible residues in the VRC01 and CD4 binding footprints, the length of gp120, the length of Env, the number of cysteines in gp120, the number of cysteines in Env, and 4 potential N-linked glycosylation sites; the top features will be advanced to the primary sieve analysis. This modeling framework may also inform the study of VRC01 in the treatment of HIV-infected persons.

Indexed as

Amino Acid SequenceAntibodies, MonoclonalAntibodies, NeutralizingBinding SitesBroadly Neutralizing AntibodiesCD4 AntigensComputer SimulationForecastingGlycosylationHIV-1HIV AntibodiesHIV Envelope Protein gp160HIV InfectionsHumansProtein BindingAntibodies, MonoclonalAntibodies, NeutralizingBroadly Neutralizing AntibodiesCD4 Antigensgp160 protein, Human immunodeficiency virus 1HIV AntibodiesHIV Envelope Protein gp160VRC01 monoclonal antibody

Identifiers

PMID30933973
PMCPMC6459550
OpenAlexW2931896522

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.