Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30931399›Full record

ArticleNature human behaviour2018

Modelling the effects of crime type and evidence on judgments about guilt.

John M Pearson, Jonathan R Law, Jesse A G Skene, Donald H Beskind, Neil Vidmar, David A Ball, Artemis Malekpour, R McKell Carter, J H Pate Skene

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature human behaviour, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
20.4field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 20 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Social cognitive processes explain bias in juror decisions.Social cognitive and affective neuroscience · 2023
    Article
  5. Review
  6. Neural Support for Contributions of Utility and Narrative Processing of Evidence in Juror Decision Making.The Journal of neuroscience : the official journal of the Society for Neuroscience · 2022
    Article
  7. Mock jurors' awareness of age-related changes in memory and cognitive capacity.Psychiatry, psychology, and law : an interdisciplinary journal of the Australian and New Zealand Association of Psychiatry, Psychology and Law · 2020
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

John M PearsonDepartment of Psychology and Neuroscience.
Jonathan R LawCenter for Cognitive Neuroscience Duke University, Durham, NC 27708.
Jesse A G SkeneCenter for Cognitive Neuroscience Duke University, Durham, NC 27708.
Donald H BeskindDuke University School of Law, 210 Science Dr., Durham, NC 27708.
Neil VidmarDuke University School of Law, 210 Science Dr., Durham, NC 27708.
David A BallMalekpour & Ball Litigation Consulting, Durham, NC.
Artemis MalekpourMalekpour & Ball Litigation Consulting, Durham, NC.
R McKell CarterDepartment of Psychology and Neuroscience.
J H Pate SkeneDepartment of Neurobiology, 311 Research Dr., Duke University Medical Center, Durham, NC 27710.
Duke University · USUniversity of Colorado Boulder · US

Funding

Nonparametric Bayes Methods for Big Data in NeuroscienceK01ES025442 · NIEHS · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI PEARSON, JOHN · 2014 to 2018
$732k
NIEHS NIH HHS K01 ES025442
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Concerns over wrongful convictions have spurred an increased focus on understanding criminal justice decision-making. This study describes an experimental approach that complements conventional mock-juror experiments and case studies by providing a rapid, high-throughput screen for identifying preconceptions and biases that can influence how jurors and lawyers evaluate evidence in criminal cases. The approach combines an experimental decision task derived from marketing research with statistical modeling to explore how subjects evaluate the strength of the case against a defendant. The results show that, in the absence of explicit information about potential error rates or objective reliability, subjects tend to overweight widely used types of forensic evidence, but give much less weight than expected to a defendant's criminal history. Notably, for mock jurors, the type of crime also biases their confidence in guilt independent of the evidence. This bias is positively correlated with the seriousness of the crime. For practicing prosecutors and other lawyers, the crime-type bias is much smaller, yet still correlates with the seriousness of the crime.

Indexed as

Forensic PsychologyJudgmentModels, PsychologicalCrimeGuiltHumanscrime typedecision-makingeyewitnessforensic evidencejurorslawprior convictionsprosecutorswrongful convictions

Identifiers

PMID30931399
PMCPMC6436087
OpenAlexW2897688701

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.