ArticleBMJ open2019
Socioeconomic inequalities in obesity: modelling future trends in Australia.
Article in BMJ open, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 22 citations in OpenAlex.
- Differences in the effects of exercise on blood pressure depending on the physical condition of the subject and the type of exercise: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Hypertension research : official journal of the Japanese Society of Hypertension · 2025Pooled it
- Growing Inequities in Median Age of Death and Obesity Prevalence Between Australian Major Cities and Remote Areas: A National, Longitudinal, Spatial Analysis.Public health challenges · 2026Article
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- The socioeconomic gradient in mortality from ovarian, cervical, and endometrial cancer in Australian women, 2001-2018: A population-based study.The Australian & New Zealand journal of obstetrics & gynaecology · 2022Article
- The socio-economic inequality in body mass index: a PERSIAN cohort-based cross-sectional study on 20,000 Iranian adults.BMC endocrine disorders · 2022Article
- Assessing the income-related inequality in obesity among the elderly in China: A decomposition analysis.Frontiers in public health · 2022Article
- Intergenerational social mobility and body mass index trajectories - A follow-up study from Finland.SSM - population health · 2021Article
- Association Between Weight Gain From Young to Middle Adulthood and Metabolic Syndrome Across Different BMI Categories at Young Adulthood.Frontiers in endocrinology · 2021Article
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Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
4 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
objectivesTo develop a model to predict future socioeconomic inequalities in body mass index (BMI) and obesity.
designMicrosimulation modelling using BMI data from adult participants of Australian Health Surveys, and published data on the relative risk of mortality in relation to BMI and socioeconomic position (SEP), based on education.
settingAustralia.
participants74 329 adults, aged 20 and over from Australian Health Surveys, 1995-2015. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcomes were BMI trajectories and obesity prevalence by SEP for four birth cohorts, born 10 years apart, centred on 1940, 1950, 1960 and 1970.
resultsSimulations projected persistent or widening socioeconomic inequality in BMI and obesity over the adult life course, for all birth cohorts. Recent birth cohorts were predicted to have greater socioeconomic inequality by middle age, compared with earlier cohorts. For example, among men, there was no inequality in obesity prevalence at age 60 for the 1940 birth cohort (low SEP 25% (95% CI 17% to 34%); high SEP 26% (95% CI 19% to 34%)), yet for the 1970 birth cohort, obesity prevalence was projected to be 51% (95% CI 43% to 58%) and 41% (95% CI 36% to 46%) for the low and high SEP groups, respectively. Notably, for more recent birth cohorts, the model predicted the greatest socioeconomic inequality in severe obesity (BMI >35 kg/m
conclusionsLower SEP groups and more recent birth cohorts are at higher risk of obesity and severe obesity, and its consequences in middle age. Prevention efforts should focus on these vulnerable population groups in order to avoid future disparities in health outcomes. The model provides a framework for further research to investigate which interventions will be most effective in narrowing the gap in socioeconomic disparities in obesity in adulthood.
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