Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30922668›Full record

Observational studyKidney international2019

Long-term trajectory of kidney function in autosomal-dominant polycystic kidney disease.

Alan S L Yu, Chengli Shen, Douglas P Landsittel, Jared J Grantham, Larry T Cook, Vicente E Torres, Arlene B Chapman, Kyongtae Ty Bae, Michal Mrug, Peter C Harris and 4 more

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Kidney international, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 58 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
58citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

58 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Guideline
  3. Trial
  4. Trial
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Evolution of Clinical Trial Design in ADPKD.Kidney international reports · 2026
    Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Review
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. The long-term effect of tolvaptan treatment on kidney function and volume in patients with ADPKD.Nephrology, dialysis, transplantation : official publication of the European Dialysis and Transplant Association - European Renal Association · 2025
    Observational
  19. Review
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Alan S L YuDivision of Nephrology and Hypertension and the Kidney Institute, University of Kansas Medical Center, Kansas City, Kansas, USA. Electronic address: ayu@kumc.edu.
Chengli ShenDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA.
Douglas P LandsittelDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA.
Jared J GranthamDivision of Nephrology and Hypertension and the Kidney Institute, University of Kansas Medical Center, Kansas City, Kansas, USA.
Larry T CookDepartment of Diagnostic Radiology, University of Kansas Medical Center, Kansas City, Kansas, USA.
Vicente E TorresDivision of Nephrology and Hypertension, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.
Arlene B ChapmanDivision of Nephrology, University of Chicago School of Medicine, Chicago, Illinois, USA; Department of Internal Medicine, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Kyongtae Ty BaeDepartment of Radiology, University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA.
Michal MrugDivision of Nephrology, University of Alabama and the Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Birmingham, Alabama, USA.
Peter C HarrisDivision of Nephrology and Hypertension, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.
Frederic F Rahbari-OskouiDepartment of Internal Medicine, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Tiange ShiDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA.
William M BennettLegacy Good Samaritan Hospital, Portland, Oregon, USA.
Consortium for Radiologic Imaging Studies of Polycystic Kidney Disease (CRISP)

Funding

Harvard Clinical and Translational Science CenterUL1TR001102 · NCATS · HARVARD MEDICAL SCHOOL · PI NADLER, LEE MARSHALL · 2013 to 2017
$106.2M
UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH CLINICAL AND TRANSLATIONAL SCIENCE INSTITUTE: BPCAUL1RR024153 · NCRR · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI REIS, STEVEN E · 2006 to 2011
$73.9M
MAYO CLINIC CENTER FOR TRANSLATIONAL SCIENCE ACTIVITIESUL1RR024150 · NCRR · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI RIZZA, ROBERT A. · 2006 to 2011
$66.4M
University of Pittsburgh Clinical and Translational Science InstituteUL1TR000005 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI REIS, STEVEN E · 2012 to 2015
$50.8M
National Dissemination of I-Corps@NCATS: Accelerating Translation through CommercializationUL1TR003096 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA AT BIRMINGHAM · PI GUTIERREZ, ORLANDO M, KIMBERLY, ROBERT P. · 2019 to 2023
$43.6M
Mayo Clinic Center for Translational Science ActivitiesUL1TR000135 · NCATS · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI KHOSLA, SUNDEEP · 2012 to 2015
$41.2M
UAB Center for Clinical and Translational Science (CCTS)UL1TR001417 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA AT BIRMINGHAM · PI KIMBERLY, ROBERT P. · 2015 to 2018
$31.4M
ZESTRIL VS. VERAPAMIL IN THE TREATMENT OF HYPERTENSIONM01RR000585 · NCRR · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI RIZZA, ROBERT A. · 1985 to 2006
$30.4M
CTSA INFRASTRUCTURE FOR PEDIATRIC RESEARCHUL1RR025008 · NCRR · EMORY UNIVERSITY · PI STEPHENS, DAVID S · 2007 to 2011
$29.0M
Atlanta Clinical and Translational Science Institute (ACTSI) RenewalUL1TR000454 · NCATS · EMORY UNIVERSITY · PI STEPHENS, DAVID S · 2012 to 2016
$25.8M
Zevalin Radioimmunotherapy Using a Modified TreatmentM01RR000032 · NCRR · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI RICH, ROBERT R. · 1985 to 2008
$23.6M
UAB CENTER FOR CLINICAL AND TRANSLATIONAL SCIENCE (CCTS) UL1: BPCAUL1RR025777 · NCRR · UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA AT BIRMINGHAM · PI GUAY-WOODFORD, LISA MARIE · 2008 to 2011
$22.3M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000001NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000005NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000135NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000165NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000454NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001102NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001417NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR003096NCRR NIH HHS M01 RR000032NCRR NIH HHS M01 RR000039NCRR NIH HHS M01 RR000585NCRR NIH HHS M01 RR023940NCRR NIH HHS UL1 RR024150NCRR NIH HHS UL1 RR024153NCRR NIH HHS UL1 RR025008NCRR NIH HHS UL1 RR025777NCRR NIH HHS UL1 RR033179NIDDK NIH HHS P30 DK090728NIDDK NIH HHS P30 DK106912NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK044863NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK113111NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK056943NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK056956NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK056957NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK056961
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) is characterized by cyst and kidney growth, which is hypothesized to cause loss of functioning renal mass and eventually end-stage kidney disease. However, the time course of decline in glomerular filtration rate (GFR) is poorly defined. The Consortium for Radiologic Imaging Studies of Polycystic Kidney Disease study is a 14-year observational cohort study of 241 adults with ADPKD. As an estimate of the rate of kidney growth, participants were stratified into 5 subclasses based on baseline age and magnetic resonance imaging measurements of total kidney volume (TKV) according to the method of Irazabal. GFR trajectories spanning over four decades of life were reconstructed and fitted using mixed polynomial models, which were validated using data from the HALT-PKD study. GFR trajectories were nonlinear, with a period of relative stability in most participants, followed by accelerating decline. The shape and slope of these trajectories were strongly associated with baseline Irazabal class. Patients with PKD1 mutations had a steeper GFR decline than patients with PKD2 mutations or with no detected mutation, largely mediated by the effect of genotype on Irazabal class. Thus, GFR decline in ADPKD is nonlinear, and its trajectory throughout adulthood can be predicted from a single measurement of kidney volume. These models can be used for clinical prognostication, clinical trial design, and patient selection for clinical interventions. Our findings support a causal link between growth in kidney volume and GFR decline, adding support for the use of TKV as a surrogate endpoint in clinical trials.

Indexed as

Models, BiologicalAdultDisease ProgressionFemaleGlomerular Filtration RateHumansKidneyKidney Failure, ChronicMaleMutationPolycystic Kidney, Autosomal DominantTime FactorsTRPP Cation ChannelsYoung AdultTRPP Cation ChannelsADPKDchronic kidney disease

Identifiers

PMID30922668
PMCPMC6478515

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.