Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30921400›Full record

ArticlePloS one2019

Machine learning for patient risk stratification for acute respiratory distress syndrome.

Daniel Zeiberg, Tejas Prahlad, Brahmajee K Nallamothu, Theodore J Iwashyna, Jenna Wiens, Michael W Sjoding

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT07328997 (Exploration of Diagnosis and Treatment Strategies and Prognostic Prediction Models for Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome Based on Radiographic Evaluations Assessed by Artificial Intelligence), which is not on this map. Cited by 50 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
50citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT07328997 completednot on this mapstarted 2024, after this paper: background citation

Exploration of Diagnosis and Treatment Strategies and Prognostic Prediction Models for Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome Based on Radiographic Evaluations Assessed by Artificial Intelligence

TypeobservationalSponsorShanghai Zhongshan HospitalRan2024 to 2025Enrolled400ConditionsARDS (Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome), AI (Artificial Intelligence)ArmsCT scan
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

50 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Cataract surgery risk stratification models: a systematic review.Graefe's archive for clinical and experimental ophthalmology = Albrecht von Graefes Archiv fur klinische und experimentelle Ophthalmologie · 2025
    Pooled it
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  7. Observational
  8. Multimodal Deep Learning for ARDS Detection.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2025
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  14. Robust extraction of pneumonia-associated clinical states from electronic health records.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
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  16. Observational
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Daniel ZeibergComputer Science and Engineering, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-6919-7572
Tejas PrahladComputer Science and Engineering, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, United States of America.
Brahmajee K NallamothuDepartment of Internal Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, United States of America.
Theodore J IwashynaDepartment of Internal Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, United States of America.
Jenna WiensComputer Science and Engineering, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, United States of America.
Michael W SjodingDepartment of Internal Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-0535-9659

Funding

Data-Driven Identification of the Acute Respiratory Distress SyndromeK01HL136687 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI SJODING, MICHAEL WILLIAM · 2017 to 2021
$862k
NHLBI NIH HHS K01 HL136687NHLBI NIH HHS L30 HL138779
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundExisting prediction models for acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) require manual chart abstraction and have only fair performance-limiting their suitability for driving clinical interventions. We sought to develop a machine learning approach for the prediction of ARDS that (a) leverages electronic health record (EHR) data, (b) is fully automated, and (c) can be applied at clinically relevant time points throughout a patient's stay. METHODS AND

findingsWe trained a risk stratification model for ARDS using a cohort of 1,621 patients with moderate hypoxia from a single center in 2016, of which 51 patients developed ARDS. We tested the model in a temporally distinct cohort of 1,122 patients from 2017, of which 27 patients developed ARDS. Gold standard diagnosis of ARDS was made by intensive care trained physicians during retrospective chart review. We considered both linear and non-linear approaches to learning the model. The best model used L2-logistic regression with 984 features extracted from the EHR. For patients observed in the hospital at least six hours who then developed moderate hypoxia, the model achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC) of 0.81 (95% CI: 0.73-0.88). Selecting a threshold based on the 85th percentile of risk, the model had a sensitivity of 56% (95% CI: 35%, 74%), specificity of 86% (95% CI: 85%, 87%) and positive predictive value of 9% (95% CI: 5%, 14%), identifying a population at four times higher risk for ARDS than other patients with moderate hypoxia and 17 times the risk of hospitalized adults.

conclusionsWe developed an ARDS prediction model based on EHR data with good discriminative performance. Our results demonstrate the feasibility of a machine learning approach to risk stratifying patients for ARDS solely from data extracted automatically from the EHR.

Indexed as

Machine LearningAgedFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedModels, StatisticalRespiratory Distress SyndromeRisk Assessment

Identifiers

PMID30921400
PMCPMC6438573

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.