Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30917114›Full record

ArticlePLoS neglected tropical diseases2019

Determinants for progression from asymptomatic infection to symptomatic visceral leishmaniasis: A cohort study.

Jaya Chakravarty, Epco Hasker, Sangeeta Kansal, Om Prakash Singh, Paritosh Malaviya, Abhishek Kumar Singh, Ankita Chourasia, Toolika Singh, Medhavi Sudarshan, Akhil Pratap Singh and 11 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
26citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

26 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. The potential ofMicrobiology spectrum · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Assessment of asymptomaticFrontiers in medicine · 2025
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Monitoring of Leishmania transmission in the postelimination phase: The potential of serological surveys.International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases · 2024
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Immune response to viscerotropicFrontiers in immunology · 2024
    Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Review
  17. Precision Medicine in Control of Visceral Leishmaniasis Caused byFrontiers in cellular and infection microbiology · 2021
    Review
  18. Revival of Leishmanization and Leishmanin.Frontiers in cellular and infection microbiology · 2021
    Review
  19. Article
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

21 authors.

Jaya ChakravartyDepartment of Medicine, Institute of Medical Sciences, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, India.
Epco HaskerInstitute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerp, Belgium.
Sangeeta KansalDepartment of Community Medicine, Institute of Medical Sciences, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, India.
Om Prakash SinghDepartment of Medicine, Institute of Medical Sciences, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, India.
Paritosh MalaviyaDepartment of Medicine, Institute of Medical Sciences, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, India.
Abhishek Kumar SinghDepartment of Medicine, Institute of Medical Sciences, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, India.
Ankita ChourasiaDepartment of Medicine, Institute of Medical Sciences, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, India.
Toolika SinghDepartment of Medicine, Institute of Medical Sciences, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, India.
Medhavi SudarshanDepartment of Medicine, Institute of Medical Sciences, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, India.
Akhil Pratap SinghDepartment of Medicine, Institute of Medical Sciences, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, India.
Bhawana SinghDepartment of Medicine, Institute of Medical Sciences, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, India.
Rudra Pratap SinghDepartment of Medicine, Institute of Medical Sciences, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, India.
Bart OstynInstitute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerp, Belgium.
Michaela FakiolaCambridge Institute for Medical Research, University of Cambridge, United Kingdom and Telethon Kids Institute, University of Western Australia, Crawley, Australia.
Albert PicadoFoundation for Innovative New Diagnostics (FIND), Geneva, Switzerland.
Joris MentenInstitute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerp, Belgium.
Jenefer M BlackwellCambridge Institute for Medical Research, University of Cambridge, United Kingdom and Telethon Kids Institute, University of Western Australia, Crawley, Australia.
Mary E WilsonUniversity of Iowa and the Veterans Affairs Medical Centre, Iowa City, Iowa, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0001-8680-7275
David SacksLaboratory of Parasitic Diseases, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Health, Bethesda, Maryland, United States of America.
Marleen BoelaertInstitute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerp, Belgium.
Shyam SundarDepartment of Medicine, Institute of Medical Sciences, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, India.ORCID 0000-0001-9988-582X

Funding

IMMUNE REGULATION AND VACCINE DEVELOPMENT IN LEISHMANIASISZIAAI000494 · NIAID · NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF ALLERGY AND INFECTIOUS DISEASES · PI SACKS, DAVID · 2009 to 2025
$11.8M
Visceral Leishmaniasis in Bihar State, IndiaP50AI074321 · NIAID · BANARAS HINDU UNIVERSITY · PI SINGH, NARENDRA NATH · 2007 to 2016
$6.4M
Visceral Leishmaniasis in Bihar State, IndiaU19AI074321 · NIAID · BANARAS HINDU UNIVERSITY · PI SUNDAR, SHYAM · 2017 to 2021
$2.8M
Innate inflammatory cells in leishmaniasisI01BX001983 · VA · IOWA CITY VA MEDICAL CENTER · PI WILSON, MARY E · 2014 to 2022
–
BLRD VA I01 BX000536BLRD VA I01 BX001983NIAID NIH HHS P50 AI074321NIAID NIH HHS U19 AI074321
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAsymptomatic Leishmania donovani infections outnumber clinical presentations, however the predictors for development of active disease are not well known. We aimed to identify serological, immunological and genetic markers for progression from L. donovani infection to clinical Visceral Leishmaniasis (VL).

methodsWe enrolled all residents >2 years of age in 27 VL endemic villages in Bihar (India). Blood samples collected on filter paper on two occasions 6-12 months apart, were tested for antibodies against L. donovani with rK39-ELISA and DAT. Sero converters, (negative for both tests in the first round but positive on either of the two during the second round) and controls (negative on both tests on both occasions) were followed for three years. At the start of follow-up venous blood was collected for the following tests: DAT, rK39- ELISA, Quantiferon assay, SNP/HLA genotyping and L.donovani specific quantitative PCR.

resultsAmong 1,606 subjects enrolled,17 (8/476 seroconverters and 9/1,130 controls) developed VL (OR 3.1; 95% CI 1.1-8.3). High DAT and rK39 ELISA antibody titers as well as positive qPCR were strongly and significantly associated with progression from seroconversion to VL with odds ratios of 19.1, 30.3 and 20.9 respectively. Most VL cases arose early (median 5 months) during follow-up.

conclusionWe confirmed the strong association between high DAT and/or rK39 titers and progression to disease among asymptomatic subjects and identified qPCR as an additional predictor. Low predictive values do not warrant prophylactic treatment but as most progressed to VL early during follow-up, careful oberservation of these subjects for at least 6 months is indicated.

Indexed as

Endemic DiseasesAntibodies, ProtozoanAsymptomatic InfectionsCohort StudiesDisease ProgressionEnzyme-Linked Immunosorbent AssayFemaleHumansIndiaInfantLeishmania donovaniLeishmaniasis, VisceralMaleSeroconversionAntibodies, Protozoan

Identifiers

PMID30917114
PMCPMC6453476

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.