Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30914223›Full record

ArticleVaccine2019

Modeling the economic impact of different vial-opening thresholds for measles-containing vaccines.

Patrick T Wedlock, Elizabeth A Mitgang, Assaf P Oron, Brittany L Hagedorn, Jim Leonard, Shawn T Brown, Jennifer Bakal, Sheryl S Siegmund, Bruce Y Lee

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Vaccine, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Patrick T WedlockHERMES Logistics Modeling Team, Baltimore, MD & Pittsburgh, PA, United States; Global Obesity Prevention Center (GOPC) at Johns Hopkins University, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, United States.
Elizabeth A MitgangHERMES Logistics Modeling Team, Baltimore, MD & Pittsburgh, PA, United States; Global Obesity Prevention Center (GOPC) at Johns Hopkins University, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, United States.
Assaf P OronInstitute for Disease Modeling, Bellevue, WA, United States.
Brittany L HagedornInstitute for Disease Modeling, Bellevue, WA, United States.
Jim LeonardHERMES Logistics Modeling Team, Baltimore, MD & Pittsburgh, PA, United States; Pittsburgh Supercomputing Center, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA, United States.
Shawn T BrownHERMES Logistics Modeling Team, Baltimore, MD & Pittsburgh, PA, United States; McGill Centre for Integrative Neuroscience, McGill Neurological Institute, McGill University, Montreal, Canada.
Jennifer BakalHERMES Logistics Modeling Team, Baltimore, MD & Pittsburgh, PA, United States; Pittsburgh Supercomputing Center, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA, United States.
Sheryl S SiegmundHERMES Logistics Modeling Team, Baltimore, MD & Pittsburgh, PA, United States; Global Obesity Prevention Center (GOPC) at Johns Hopkins University, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, United States.
Bruce Y LeeHERMES Logistics Modeling Team, Baltimore, MD & Pittsburgh, PA, United States; Global Obesity Prevention Center (GOPC) at Johns Hopkins University, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, United States. Electronic address: brucelee@jhu.edu.

Funding

MULTILEVEL SYSTEMS-ORIENTED CHILDHOOD OBESITY STUDY IN CHINAU54HD070725 · NICHD · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI WANG, YOUFA · 2011 to 2016
$15.9M
MIDAS Informatics Services Group (ISG)U24GM110707 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI ESPINO, JESSI U, WAGNER, MICHAEL MATTHEW · 2014 to 2018
$11.6M
Regional Healthcare Ecosystem Analyst for Healthcare Associated InfectionsR01HS023317 · AHRQ · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI LEE, BRUCE Y · 2014 to 2014
$2.4M
AHRQ HHS R01 HS023317NICHD NIH HHS U54 HD070725NIGMS NIH HHS U24 GM110707
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionThe lack of specific policies on how many children must be present at a vaccinating location before a healthcare worker can open a measles-containing vaccine (MCV) - i.e. the vial-opening threshold - has led to inconsistent practices, which can have wide-ranging systems effects.

methodsUsing HERMES-generated simulation models of the routine immunization supply chains of Benin, Mozambique and Niger, we evaluated the impact of different vial-opening thresholds (none, 30% of doses must be used, 60%) and MCV presentations (10-dose, 5-dose) on each supply chain. We linked these outputs to a clinical- and economic-outcomes model which translated the change in vaccine availability to associated infections, medical costs, and DALYs. We calculated the economic impact of each policy from the health system perspective.

resultsThe vial-opening threshold that maximizes vaccine availability while minimizing costs varies between individual countries. In Benin (median session size = 5), implementing a 30% vial-opening threshold and tailoring distribution of 10-dose and 5-dose MCVs to clinics based on session size is the most cost-effective policy, preventing 671 DALYs ($471/DALY averted) compared to baseline (no threshold, 10-dose MCVs). In Niger (median MCV session size = 9), setting a 60% vial-opening threshold and tailoring MCV presentations is the most cost-effective policy, preventing 2897 DALYs ($16.05/ DALY averted). In Mozambique (median session size = 3), setting a 30% vial-opening threshold using 10-dose MCVs is the only beneficial policy compared to baseline, preventing 3081 DALYs ($85.98/DALY averted). Across all three countries, however, a 30% vial-opening threshold using 10-dose MCVs everywhere is the only MCV threshold that consistently benefits each system compared to baseline.

conclusionWhile the ideal vial-opening threshold policy for MCV varies by supply chain, implementing a 30% vial-opening threshold for 10-dose MCVs benefits each system by improving overall vaccine availability and reducing associated medical costs and DALYs compared to no threshold.

Indexed as

Cost-Benefit AnalysisModels, TheoreticalAlgorithmsHumansImmunization ProgramsMeaslesMeasles VaccineVaccinationMeasles VaccineMeasles vaccinePolicyPresentationVaccine supply chain

Identifiers

PMID30914223
PMCPMC6467546

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.